Pledge New High and Liquidation Controversy: On-Chain Signals Amid Disagreement in Ethereum Bull and Bear Sentiments

CN
2 hours ago

By around May 27, 2026, Ethereum's signals have become unprecedentedly contradictory: on chain, the staking amount has risen to about 39.2 million ETH, accounting for approximately 32.19% of the total supply, with another about 3.3 million ETH queued to enter staking; the smart trader address 0xfda8 has continued its previous cumulative profit record of about $2.04 million, recently buying around 7,000 ETH, nominally worth about $14.52 million, and depositing it into Aave to form a collateral position, continuing to stand on the bullish side. In contrast, in the discourse arena, David Hoffman, the co-founder of Bankless, long regarded as a representative of Ethereum bulls, publicly stated that he has completely liquidated his ETH holdings, sparking heated debates in the community about whether "it's time to exit," prompting Uniswap founder Hayden Adams to respond, reiterating the long-term narrative that "ETH is Money." At the same time, the market cap of uPEG surged to about $19.7 million intraday, with a daily increase of over 24%, before falling back to around $17.7 million, and its microPEG function is also seen as a marginal example of Ethereum application exploration. The contrast between high staking, smart money building positions, and long-term bulls liquidating interweaves like a narrative reevaluation surrounding Ethereum's long-term role and pricing, rather than a trend reversal that has already been declared over.

Staking Ratio Breaks 32%: New High in Locked ETH

Following this narrative reevaluation, the most eye-catching number on chain is Ethereum's "locked voting." According to public data, about 39.2 million ETH is currently in a staked state, accounting for about 32.19% of the total supply. Since the launch of PoS, the staking ratio has continuously risen, now firmly positioned in a historically high range. Even more noteworthy, there are approximately 3.3 million ETH waiting to enter the validator set in the staking queue, which indicates that even amid split sentiment, a large number of assets still choose to be locked long-term at the protocol layer rather than remaining on the circulating side to watch and wait.

The high staking ratio has quickly led to divergent interpretations in the market: some view it as an endorsement of participation and security, believing that more ETH locked in the consensus layer means the network is "protected by real monetary votes"; others worry that such a high locked ratio could pressure the freely circulating ETH on chain and even foster a sense of complacency that "the system is already secure." However, these concerns currently remain at the level of opinions, without authoritative empirical conclusions to support clear causality. By nature, indicators like the staking ratio and the scale of the staking queue, categorized as "locked-type" metrics, are closer to recording holders' confidence in Ethereum's medium to long-term prospects, and are difficult to use as direct guides for the next short-term price fluctuations.

Smart Money 0xfda8 Bets on 7,000 ETH

Just as the debate over "whether high staking compresses liquidity" remains at the level of data interpretation, a veteran "smart money" has already indicated its betting direction on chain. According to on-chain tracking data, address 0xfda8 has recently taken action again, buying approximately 7,000 ETH, nominally valued at about $14.52 million. Unlike typical large purchases, this address is not making its debut—previously, it successfully profited from two significant ETH swing trades, accumulating around $2.04 million in profits, making its current position increase more of a systematic decision extending the existing trading framework rather than a tentative position during a phase of market hesitation.

More notably, this newly purchased ETH was subsequently entirely allocated to Aave, forming a collateral position. In the same phase where the Ethereum staking ratio is at a historical high and narrative discrepancies are intensifying, 0xfda8's choice to lock chips into a lending protocol suggests that it is more about building a reusable DeFi collateral base, leaving space for subsequent strategies, rather than simply waiting for short-term price differences. Such structural arrangements indicate at least a medium-term holding and utilization plan, adding a verifiable empirical clue to the judgment that "smart money is still willing to participate heavily in ETH."

Bankless Co-founder Liquidates ETH

In stark contrast to the continued accumulation by "smart money" on chain is a high-profile withdrawal at the narrative level. Bankless, as one of the influential content platforms within the Ethereum ecosystem, has long played the role of "storyteller": emphasizing the monetary attributes and financial infrastructure role of Ethereum repeatedly in its programs. Its co-founder David Hoffman has been seen by many long-time users as a typical representative of Ethereum bulls, and his and the platform's symbolic significance in the community far exceeds that of an ordinary media professional’s personal position fluctuations.

In this context of expectations, David Hoffman recently announced that he has liquidated his ETH position, even without providing complete details on asset allocation and motivation; this singular action alone is sufficiently striking. Social media and the Ethereum community immediately saw intense debate, with many interpreting it as a "turning stance of traditional bulls," believing this adds a layer of shadow to the current historical high of staking and the predominantly bullish structure of on-chain funds, forcing the market to revisit a more uncomfortable question: Can Ethereum maintain the previously high level of consistent optimism in the medium to short term when even the amplifiers of the narrative choose to exit?

Hayden Defends ETH Money Narrative

As the debate over "traditional bulls liquidating" heats up, Uniswap founder Hayden Adams opts for a direct response. He specifically mentioned David Hoffman’s liquidation on social media, emphasizing that he remains firmly committed to the narrative that "ETH is Money," only that this judgment "is somewhat different from what most people think." In Hayden's view, the core of the debate is not about short-term ups and downs, but whether ETH is recognized as a monetary asset, serving as the accounting unit and settlement layer for the entire system in the long term.

To explain this "minority consensus," Hayden pulls the perspective toward a more distant future: he posits that all assets will ultimately be tokenized, with on-chain fully mapping everything from bonds, equities to various real-world assets, and Ethereum will be the underlying settlement network for all of this. In such a vision, Uniswap is described by him as "one of the best decentralized monetary systems on Ethereum," and still very much in the early construction phase. In contrast to Hoffman’s choice to withdraw during a high staking and high expectations scenario, Hayden is not simply "bullish on ETH," but trying to redraw the end form of ETH using the narratives of currency and infrastructure, making the internal divergence within Ethereum seem more like a fundamental split on what ETH truly is, rather than just a directional battle between bulls and bears.

uPEG Surge and Reversal with Application Imagination

At the same time window when these narratives collide, the marginal token uPEG within the Ethereum ecosystem offers another slice of sentiment: according to public data, the market cap of uPEG once surged to about $19.7 million, with a daily increase of over 24%, before falling back to around $17.7 million, completing a "pump and dump" cycle in just one day; compared to larger mainstream assets, this amplitude resembles an echo amplified by sentiment. Unlike a simple price game, the project also simultaneously launched the microPEG feature, allowing users to package 0.1 uPEG to mint micro NFTs. This design of slicing small tokens and repackaging them as NFTs itself experiments with "how to create new asset forms on top of the ETH central narrative." Some community members have begun to try to associate uPEG with "new narratives related to Ethereum," but these claims currently remain more on the level of KOL and community discussions, lacking sufficient on-chain and usage data support, making it difficult to conclude whether the recent fluctuations of uPEG are driven by speculation or stemming from real adoption; for now, it can only be seen as the marginal asset amplification effect around the ETH central narrative, serving as a testing ground where the market probes new stories with small stakes amid uncertainty.

Signals to Watch After Bull-Bear Divergences

According to AiCoin data, on one side, about 39.2 million ETH has been staked, with another about 3.3 million waiting in line to enter staking, pushing ETH to historical high levels; on the other side, smart money like address 0xfda8, which has profited multiple times from swings and recently bought about 7,000 ETH and staked them in Aave, tends to go long, while on the discourse side, the debate surrounding David Hoffman’s liquidation and "whether ETH is a currency or an asset, and whether it has entered a mature phase" continues to brew, with Hayden Adams trying to regroup confidence with “ETH is Money.” These are highly overlapping in time yet not consistent in direction. Going forward, it is more worthwhile to monitor whether the staking ratio at high positions will continue to rise or begin to consolidate, whether addresses like 0xfda8 will maintain or even leverage their ETH positions, and whether the narratives of leading KOLs will converge back to a central line after being torn apart; also, whether marginal assets like uPEG can genuinely develop real usage or leave only emotional noise. In this period of narrative reevaluation, neither the liquidation of a veteran bull nor a short-term spike can solely define the medium to long-term trend; a more reasonable approach is to observe on-chain behaviors alongside the long-term construction rhythm of the Ethereum ecosystem, and then assess what role and value this chain might ultimately be priced at by the market.

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