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Bitcoin hits wall at $80,000, one analyst says the pullback is temporary

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coindesk
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4 hours ago
AI summarizes in 5 seconds.


What to know : The bitcoin price failed to break above $80,000 as concentrated sell orders capped gains despite strong ETF inflows and fresh stablecoin liquidity. Onchain data show billions of dollars in new stablecoin deposits and robust spot bitcoin ETF demand, suggesting sidelined capital could fuel further upside once resistance is cleared. Mounting security risks in decentralized finance, driven largely by private key compromises and recent protocol exploits, have contributed to more than $600 million in DeFi hack losses in April and underscore a structural vulnerability in the sector.

Bitcoin BTC$77,785.28 is doing that familiar dance just below a big round number, $80,000, stalled by sellers even as fresh stablecoin liquidity, ETF demand and a risk-on equity market suggest the breakout may be delayed rather than denied.

The leading cryptocurrency briefly climbed above $79,000 during Asian trading hours before slipping back to trade below $78,000 recently. Over the past 24 hours, bitcoin has lost about 0.4%. Ether (ETH) has fallen 0.6%, XRP (XRP) is down 0.8% and Solana’s SOL has dropped more than 1%. Broader market benchmarks, including the CoinDesk Memecoin Index and Smart Contract Platform Select Capped Index, were also under pressure, falling more than 1% each.

According to Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, the $80,000 level is acting as a near-term ceiling due to concentrated sell orders.

“Bitcoin has approached the $80K mark for the second time in the last few days, but has since experienced significant downward momentum. As it approaches this round figure, a build-up of sell orders is preventing the coin from moving further upwards,” he said in an email.

Still, Kuptsikevich argued the pullback appears temporary and consistent with a broader uptrend that began in late March.

This is an excerpt from CoinDesk newsletter 'Daybook.' Sign up here, if you haven't already.

On-chain and ETF data offer support for that view. Crypto exchange Binance has recorded a net inflow of roughly $3.4 billion in stablecoins so far this month, following $3 billion in March, according to CryptoQuant data. That suggests fresh capital inflows, waiting for a entry point.

“This indicates an influx of new capital waiting to participate in the recovery,” pseudonymous CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost wrote on X.

Institutional demand remains strong. U.S.-listed spot bitcoin ETFs have pulled in $2.44 billion in investor money this month, the most since October, when bitcoin hit record highs above $126,000.

But not everything is hunky-dory. Security risks in decentralized finance (DeFi) continue to weigh on sentiment. On Sunday, the SUI-based lending platform Scallop was exploited, resulting in the loss of roughly 150,000 SUI, or about $142,000. While small, it adds to a growing list of attacks this month, including the massive Drift and KelpDAO exploits.

Together, DeFi protocols have lost an estimated $623 million to hacks in April alone, according to Memento Research. Since inception, total losses from DeFi-related exploits have climbed to roughly $7.72 billion, according to data source DeFiLlama. This underscores a persistent structural risk for the sector.

In traditional markets, WTI crude oil prices continue to hover above $90 per barrel, with Brent above $100 as supply remains constrained. The latest pricing is significantly higher than $70 or below before the Iran war began in late February, and threatens to destabilize global economy with high inflation. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today's activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today . For a comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk's "Crypto Week Ahead."

What’s trending

  • A long-time developer wants to split Bitcoin blockchain and reassign Satoshi coins. The community is calling it a theft (CoinDesk): Paul Sztorc has been trying to overhaul Bitcoin's architecture since 2015, but the broader community hasn’t budged. He now proposed the eCash hardfork, which involves copying Bitcoin's code to launch a separate version in August.
  • Oil rises and stocks waver as peace talks stall (The New York Times): Oil prices rose and stocks were mixed on Monday after President Donald Trump called off a trip to Pakistan by two of his top negotiators for a new round of peace talks with Iran.
  • China blocks Meta’s $2 billion acquisition of AI firm Manus (Bloomberg): China blocked Meta Platforms Inc.’s acquisition of agentic AI startup Manus, a surprise move to unwind a controversial deal that’s drawn fire for the leakage of technology to the U.S.

Today’s signal

Private key compromises lead DeFi hack losses. (DefiLlama)

The pie chart shows the breakdown of total losses suffered in crypto hacks by different methods of attack, including private key compromises, phishing exploits, access control issues and other smart-contract vulnerabilities.

Since inception, the biggest vulnerability has been private key compromises, accounting for 40% of the total.

Think of a private key as the master password to your crypto wallet. It’s a long, random string that proves you control your wallet and own crypto funds in it, allowing you to transact onchain. The issue, however, is that there is no reset password option if you lose the key.

So, once the hacker has it, you have lost your wallet and funds. This is known as the private key compromise and the fact that it's the biggest security risk indicates that audits need to focus beyond just smart contracts.

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