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Analysis: Bitcoin volatility diverges from geopolitical risks, with the market believing that the conflict is "durable but will not escalate."

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PANews
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4 hours ago
AI summarizes in 5 seconds.

PANews April 20 news, according to QCP Capital's market analysis, as the U.S. and Iran accused each other of violating ceasefire terms, market expectations for a de-escalation of the situation reversed over the weekend. U.S. crude oil rebounded by 8%, Bitcoin fell back to $74,000, and Ethereum dropped to around $2,300. Despite the ongoing geopolitical risks, Bitcoin's volatility remains at a yearly low, indicating that investors believe the conflict may drag on longer but will not worsen, thus the market response is limited. The risk reversal indicator fluctuated little, showing a lack of clear direction in the market. The ceasefire is set to expire, and another extension remains a possible outcome. Market attention is turning to the testimony of Federal Reserve chair nominee Kevin Warsh before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday morning, as his interest rate and economic outlook could become a recent catalyst.

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