The first failure to reach an agreement should be considered normal, as it was already anticipated during the negotiations. After all, Israel has not yet ceased fire in Lebanon, but this round of negotiations did yield some results; at least it can maintain the current ceasefire status.

Currently, it is expected that the two-week ceasefire will be extended. The United States does not have a great idea for the Strait of Hormuz at the moment. Trump seems a bit anxious; on the 8th, he mentioned increasing tariffs on countries that provide weapons to Iran, but it seems there has been no follow-up. Today, he is again mentioning that anyone involved in buying or selling sanctioned Iranian oil will face severe prosecution.

From the current perspective, it is a good thing that the United States and Iran are not continuing to fight. Oil prices are expected to rebound on Monday. The funding rate for BCLUSDT has already reached 0.5%, making it too costly to go long now. I think I will wait to short at a higher position.

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