The world is bustling for profit; the world is bustling for benefits! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to deliver the most valuable information about the currency market to all cryptocurrency enthusiasts. I welcome everyone's attention and likes, and I refuse any market smoke bombs! 

The volatility in the past couple of days has not been high, and there is not much to analyze in the market. Today's article will discuss the establishment of positions. After a period of bullish sentiment, the market has lived up to expectations, leading many users to develop a bottom-fishing mentality. Regarding the best points for bottom fishing, surely above seventy thousand is the most cost-effective. It is always easy for everyone to imagine that it should always be lower than the current price. Lao Cui's trading habit is to enter the market at the current price; I never have the habit of placing orders. As long as I do not have time to monitor the market, there is absolutely no possibility of entering the market. There are also many skilled users who primarily enter the market with limit orders, and indeed, a batch of users believe it’s a refinement of profit standards. At this stage, if you want to enter the market, it depends on your ability to overcome the psychological burden of holding for several months. Those who hold contrary opinions to Lao Cui also hope to understand a golden rule: the counterpart of institutions is always institutions. Currently, the demand for shorts in the market is mostly from retail investors, not institutions; giants like Yi Lihua have already exited, and institutions have made sufficient profits from this round of liquidations.

Lao Cui also took the time to organize the entire liquidation process of Yi Lihua. This time, Ethereum's decline around 1730 caused Yi Lihua to incur a net loss of 380 million USD; the peak holding amount was 658,000 Ethereum, with a cost price of 3104, and an average clearing price of 2058, resulting in a total loss of 688 million. However, his overall profit in the last bull market reached 315 million, and it has all been returned, which means that 380 million was his total capital. The cryptocurrency market also corresponds to the theory of relativity; he could make a profit of 315 million in the last bull market and will lose 380 million this time. According to the theory that heroes are distinguished by success or failure, he is undoubtedly a failed investor, but if we extend the timeline, the choice to be bullish is definitely correct. The main reason for his short-term failure is not due to institutional issues. Looking back, just like all retail investors who incurred losses, the factors are merely heavy positions, accumulation of floating profits, and high leverage. But fundamentally, it lies within the individual, being overly fixated on being bullish.

At the end of 2025, Lao Cui's views were almost identical to his. At that time, Lao Cui couldn't see a new low of sixty thousand, nor could he see Ethereum below two thousand. Discussing the entire event is not meant to serve as a warning, but rather to clarify a logic: even if a personal private fund like Yi Lihua has exited, the group represented behind is massive. This round of market has returned to the prices before Trump's election; the bottom space is indeed small. You cannot overlook all the strategies implemented after Trump took office, whether stablecoins, Bitcoin, Ethereum, SOL, XRP, or even DOGE; these cryptocurrencies have already been listed, and ETFs have indeed been seeing continuous capital inflow. These concrete strategies prevent Lao Cui from seeing much lower; the cryptocurrency market can be considered to have been attacked by emotions, leading to the downturn. The scale of controlling this needs extremely exquisite operational skills; it can't be that after this wave of decline, there is no cryptocurrency market anymore?

The real scythe strikes down, and Lao Cui estimates that the best timing will be after Trump leaves office. If larger funds want to intervene, this downturn will not be too deep. This week's Bitcoin ETF inflow data is already clear, with a net inflow exceeding 763 million, averaging a net inflow every day. Capital is beginning to initiate bottom-fishing procedures. Aside from ETFs, the inflow of Bitcoin spot has exceeded 60 billion, and the price performance is also very impressive, with a weekly increase of 12%. This article took three days to write, and during this time, some data may have changed; everyone should learn to find the right data themselves in conjunction with the article. The biggest news today is about Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange promoting blockchain in the stock market. Lao Cui needs to explain this blockchain matter, which is a splitting issue; each share corresponds to a token, and the value of each share will be completely the same.

If it succeeds, the profits involved will be enormous, but Lao Cui cannot elaborate. At least it can directly connect all the channels for capital inflow. The current issues faced by the US stock market are also very direct. That is the regulation of various countries, with the core issue being stablecoins. Owning stablecoins will allow you to freely exchange assets such as US stocks, US bonds, and US dollars. The US stock market is the most important link, which is a symbiotic relationship with the cryptocurrency market. You can imagine that such strategies that circumvent regulation will directly impact the inflow of large volumes of capital. For ordinary investors, the next thousandfold or hundredfold coin may likely be a token issued through the cryptocurrency channel utilized by the US stock market. If it uses Ethereum’s network, Ethereum will soar; if it uses SOL's network, SOL will form a dramatic increase. This timeline will not be too far; it is highly likely to be implemented directly around the stablecoin bill, meaning you will see specific information around March to April next year.

Regarding the recent fluctuations, our analysis has shown almost no deviation; it is just a trend of oscillating upwards. Especially today, it has once again broken through the 74,000 mark, and the downward momentum is gradually weakening. Everyone should not overthink conflicting issues, such as the interest rate hike or cut you are concerned about. The interest rate cut last year led to a crash in the cryptocurrency market, while the bull markets in the cryptocurrency sector are not significantly related to the interest rate cut cycle. What needs to be considered now is the problem facing Trump regarding interest rate cuts and hikes: should he save the US stock market or the US dollar index? Regarding the oil inflation that you believe exists, take a look at the contracts signed by various countries. Many of the imported crude oil contracts were signed before the event occurred, and the prices were predetermined early on. Especially since the US is a major energy-exporting country, can you expect countries like Venezuela or even Saudi Arabia to breach contracts with the US? Energy issues are usually not on the minds of major powers; current prices will only affect future developments, and short-term inflation is not visible.

For your investment in the cryptocurrency market, you need to be mentally prepared. You should intervene ahead of trend arrivals; if you have not prepared a strategy in advance, this wave of market will generally be unrelated to you. At the same time, Lao Cui, under such market performance, also needs to remind everyone that it does not possess explosive upward capabilities at this stage. Even though Lao Cui is bullish on the cryptocurrency market breaking through the 80,000 mark, it itself will still walk around a trend of oscillating upward, not an overnight success. The arrangement for you is likewise; what you should do is wait until the trend is apparent before entering. Most of your position planning should be oriented toward long-term holding, and do not concern yourself with short-term gains and losses. Even if using contracts to enter the market, it should be operated in a bullish manner, and try not to enter shorts (it doesn't mean that shorts cannot be operated). Shorts can be entered within certain time frames, but after all, the main theme will revolve around bullish sentiment, and poor operation may lead to being trapped.

Lao Cui summarizes: Currently, what we can confirm is that this market is primarily preparing for what lies ahead and that the bull market is likely to arrive before the next round of interest rate cuts. It depends on how you layout for the bullish scenario. Lao Cui's spot layout is slightly high; since breaking below one hundred thousand, Lao Cui has already started to supplement positions. This entry format naturally is looking for new highs. Whether it is Bitcoin, Ethereum, or SOL this year, Lao Cui is implementing position layouts based on new highs, aiming for at least a double return before considering exiting. As long as you intervene at this stage, you are bottom fishing with Lao Cui, so you can rest assured that Lao Cui is there to provide support. If you see it from a short-term perspective, after hitting new highs, the potential pullback is a good opportunity for you to decide when to enter; as previously mentioned, there will definitely be a depth of pullback at eighty thousand, provided you do not look for new lows. There will not be new lows at this stage, and hitting sixty thousand will be extremely difficult. If you have any questions, feel free to ask directly. Today, there is a high probability of a pullback. Whenever there are new highs, there will be a degree of pullback, and after the pullback, the market will not undergo fundamental changes. In March, Lao Cui still sees eighty thousand.

Original work created by the public account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, please contact directly.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even ten steps ahead, while a poor player can only see two or three steps. The master looks at the big picture and strategizes for the long term, not focusing on individual pieces and moves, but aiming to win the game, while the poor player fights for every piece of ground, frequently shifting between long and short positions, seeking only short-term gains, and thus often finds themselves trapped.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute buying or selling advice. Trading based on it is at your own risk!

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