Aliens might be confirmed as real soon, and traders are doubling down on their bets to capitalize on it.
On Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump directed members of his administration to take the first steps toward releasing files that could confirm the existence of aliens and the nature of Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAP), a subject long shrouded in secrecy and denial.
On Truth Social, Trump stated:
Based on the tremendous interest shown, I will be directing the Secretary of War, and other relevant Departments and Agencies, to begin the process of identifying and releasing Government files related to alien and extraterrestrial life, unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP), and unidentified flying objects (UFOs).
Furthermore, Trump referred to the issue as “highly complex, but extremely interesting and important.”
Polymarket and Kalshi, two of the largest prediction markets, registered a rise in users betting that this disclosure will finally confirm the existence of aliens. Both bets shot up to over 26% after Trump’s statements, with the conditions for solving the bet positively involving members of the government and federal agencies acknowledging that aliens do exist this year.
Trump’s move comes after former President Obama put the issue in the spotlight after confirming that aliens were real, but that he had not seen them, and denied the existence of underground bases at Area 51, a military base linked to the UAP phenomenon.
Talking to journalists before his post, Trump called out Obama for disclosing classified information, and stated that he did not know if aliens were real or not, but that he might get Obama out of trouble by declassifying the files linked to his statements.
The U.S. Congress had hosted several hearings with whistleblowers and military personnel talking about their experiences involving UAP sightings and alien-related phenomena. In one of these hearings, David Grusch, a former U.S. Air Force officer, reported that the U.S. government recovered “non-human biologics” from crash sites.
- What recent action has President Trump taken regarding the existence of aliens?
President Trump has directed his administration to begin the process of releasing government files related to aliens and Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP). - How did Trump’s announcement impact prediction markets?
Following Trump’s statements, prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi saw a surge in bets, with users increasingly confident that disclosure will confirm the existence of aliens. - What conditions must be met for these bets to resolve positively?
Bets will be settled positively if members of the government and federal agencies officially acknowledge the existence of aliens this year. - What context surrounds Trump’s statements on alien disclosure?
His announcement follows former President Obama’s remarks about aliens, and it occurs amid multiple congressional hearings addressing UAP sightings and related phenomena.
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