
- Popular CEX Cryptocurrencies
Top 10 CEX Trading Volume and 24-Hour Price Change:
- BTC: -1.54%
- ETH: -6.21%
- SOL: -3.06%
- BNB: -2.72%
- DOGE: +0.25%
- UTK: +3.62%
- SENT: -6.83%
- Binance Life: -4.72%
- MDT: -2.47%
- BAR: -1%
24-Hour Price Increase Rankings (Data Source: OKX):
- MERL: +14.18%
- IP: +12.32%
- LIT: +10.53%
- WLFI: +8.28%
- ZEC: +8.06%
- VELO: +6.82%
- HYPE: +6.7%
- ANIME: +6.65%
- SPK: +5.64%
- NAVX: +4.7%
24-Hour Stock Price Increase Rankings (Data Source: msx.com):
- GME: +3.85%
- SNDK: +2.9%
- SIVR: +2.41%
- MU: +1.72%
- GLD: +0.99%
- OKLO: +0.98%
- IREN: +0.76%
- DJT: +0.7%
- NEM: +0.69%
- SQQQ: +0.62%
- On-Chain Popular Memes (Data Source: GMGN):
- LARPBOOK
- ELON MUSK
- meme
- 1LY
- LipsCoin
Headlines
The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in March is 84.7%
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 15.3%, while the probability of maintaining rates is 84.7%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by April is 29.0%, with a probability of maintaining rates at 68.0%, and a cumulative 50 basis point cut at 3.0%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by June is 49.5%.
Steve Sosnick, Chief Strategist at Interactive Brokers, believes that silver has recently behaved like "meme stocks." Although the strengthening of the dollar due to the news of Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, Waller, has pressured silver trading, the decline in silver began in overnight trading before the nomination news was made public. Additionally, data shows that over the past two years, gold and Bitcoin have performed highly consistently, with their returns differing by only a few percentage points, and both asset classes are showing converging trends again. Sosnick finally pointed out that while the psychology of investors seeking alternative assets and chasing momentum still exists, the phenomenon of "meme-ifying" traditional commodities with thousands of years of history may be nearing its end.
U.S. House Speaker Johnson stated in an interview on NBC's "Meet the Press" that he believes he has secured Republican support to ensure the end of the partial government shutdown by Tuesday. "I believe we can get this done by Tuesday at the latest. One practical issue we face is how to gather everyone in town," he said. A recent snowstorm has affected transportation in the southeastern U.S., leading to ongoing travel issues.
Industry News
7 Siblings spent $57.21 million to buy 24,000 ETH in the past 2 days
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, the mysterious entity 7 Siblings (0x741…31f3, 0x28a…a6b0) purchased 11,333 ETH for $26.13 million.
In the past 2 days, this entity has spent a total of $57.21 million to buy 24,139 ETH, with an average purchase price of $2,370. The entity is still holding orders to buy more ETH through CoWSwap.
"1011 Insider Whale" fully liquidated on Hyperliquid, single liquidation exceeds $700 million
According to MLM monitoring, "1011 Insider Whale" Garrett Bullish (@GarrettBullish) was fully liquidated on Hyperliquid, with a single liquidation scale exceeding $700 million. Data shows that over the past two weeks, its cumulative losses on Hyperliquid have been approximately $270 million.
On-chain records also show that since starting to trade with this account in early October 2025, Garrett Bullish has incurred a historical cumulative PnL loss of over $128 million.
Bitcoin briefly fell below the Strategy cost price of $76,037, the first time since October 2023
Market data shows that Bitcoin's price briefly fell below the Strategy holding cost price of approximately $76,037, marking the first time since October 2023 that Bitcoin has retreated below this key cost level.
Project News
CrossCurve announced that its cross-chain bridge has been "attacked," with the "attacker" exploiting a vulnerability in a smart contract. The project team has requested users to immediately suspend all interactions with CrossCurve until the investigation is completed and stated that they will continuously disclose progress through official channels.
The project team later confirmed that some addresses received tokens that should have belonged to users due to this vulnerability. CrossCurve stated that no subjective malicious behavior has been found in the related addresses and called for cooperation in returning the mistakenly transferred assets. According to its Safe Harbor white hat policy, if assistance is provided in recovering funds, the white hat can retain up to 10% as a bounty.
The announcement stated that if funds are not returned or effective contact is not made within 72 hours from Ethereum block height 24,364,392, the project team will consider escalating the matter, including initiating criminal and civil procedures, and collaborating with trading platforms, stablecoin issuers, and on-chain analysis institutions to freeze or track the related assets.
FTX creditors' representative: Next round of fund distribution expected on March 31
FTX creditors' representative Sunil posted on X platform that the next round of fund distribution for FTX is expected to take place on March 31. Currently, the total amount of claims reconciled is approximately $9.6 billion, of which claims below $50,000 are about $780 million, claims above $50,000 are about $7.8 billion, and non-customer claims are about $1 billion. Sunil also pointed out that the size of the disputed reserve has decreased by about $2.2 billion, and if approximately $2 billion in funds are distributed subsequently, claims above $50,000 may receive about $1.7 billion in additional compensation. Overall, the recovery progress for FTX creditors continues to advance, and the pace of future distributions will still depend on the handling of disputed claims and asset liquidation progress.
Jupiter announces integration with prediction market Polymarket
Jupiter announced on the X platform that it will integrate the prediction market Polymarket. This integration will make Jupiter an innovative prediction platform on Solana, allowing users to directly use Polymarket through the built-in "prediction" feature in the Jupiter App.
Investment and Financing
A senior member of the UAE royal family has secretly purchased a 49% stake in Trump's cryptocurrency project World Liberty Financial for $500 million.
Regulatory Trends
The European Commission has intensified enforcement of the regulatory framework for crypto assets, initiating infringement procedures against 12 member states for failing to implement or fully enforce EU crypto tax and market-related rules. The countries named include Belgium, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Greece, Spain, Cyprus, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, and Portugal.
The European Commission stated that these countries have failed to fully transpose Directive (EU) 2023/2226 into national law. This directive requires crypto asset service providers to report certain user and transaction data to tax authorities to enhance cross-border information exchange and combat tax evasion and avoidance related to digital assets. The relevant countries must respond and complete rectification within two months, or the case may escalate and be submitted to the EU Court.
Additionally, the European Commission has initiated a separate procedure against Hungary for not fully complying with the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA), pointing out that the additional authorizations and criminal liability requirements introduced by its domestic legislation do not comply with MiCA provisions, causing compliance uncertainty for market participants. The EU emphasized that it will ensure the uniform implementation of crypto regulatory rules across member states.
As global crypto tax regulations continue to tighten, industry views suggest that the "offshore crypto asset tax evasion era" is gradually coming to an end. Large holders of undeclared offshore crypto assets are facing higher compliance risks, and some investors have begun to actively seek voluntary disclosure to reduce potential criminal risks. The crypto asset reporting framework (CARF) promoted by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has been implemented in several jurisdictions, aiming to unify global standards for crypto asset information reporting and requiring trading platforms, brokers, and other institutions to provide account and transaction data to tax authorities. The relevant mechanism will combine fiat inflow and outflow data, on-chain analysis, and internal ledger data from trading platforms, significantly enhancing the ability of regulatory authorities to track undeclared assets. Market participants expect that as over 70 countries commit to advancing CARF, relevant trading data will gradually be collected starting in 2026 and enter the first round of cross-border tax information exchange in 2027, leading to increasingly stringent crypto asset tax compliance requirements.
Voices
DCG Founder: The Process of Large-Scale Capital Flowing into Cryptocurrency is About to Begin
DCG founder Barry Silbert posted on the X platform that leverage and low-quality tokens are being cleaned up, which is a gift from the cryptocurrency sector. The process of large-scale capital flowing into cryptocurrency is about to begin, and now is the time to choose targets. His personal target choices include BTC, ETH, SOL, ZEC, TAO, and Bittensor subnet tokens.
Crypto analyst PlanB posted on the X platform that Bitcoin's price closed at $78,635 in January, down about 38% from its historical high. The current 200-week moving average for Bitcoin is about $58,000, with an achieved price of about $55,000 and a downward trend; at the same time, the RSI has fallen below 50, entering the "bear market range" defined by his model. Historically, Bitcoin has a tendency to fall back to the 200-week moving average or the achieved price during bear market phases. However, he also pointed out that the momentum in this bull market phase is relatively weak, and there have been no strong top signals, so the subsequent bear market pullback may be relatively limited.
CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju posted on the X platform that the current decline in Bitcoin is mainly due to ongoing selling pressure and a lack of new capital. He pointed out that the realized market cap has recently flattened, indicating that there has been no significant new capital entering the market. In this environment, if the total market cap declines, it typically does not belong to a bull market structure. Ki Young Ju further stated that due to the influence of ETF funds and continuous buying by Strategy, early holders still have significant unrealized profits and have gradually realized profits since early last year. Previously, strong capital inflows supported Bitcoin around $100,000, but the related incremental capital has significantly weakened. He believes that Strategy was one of the important driving forces behind this round of increase, and if Michael Saylor does not significantly reduce his holdings, the market may find it difficult to reproduce the approximately 70% level of deep pullbacks seen in previous cycles. Overall, selling pressure is still ongoing, and the market bottom has not yet been clearly defined, but this round of bear market phase is more likely to present a wide range of oscillation pattern.
Bloomberg: Bitcoin Falls Below $80,000, Confidence Crisis Intensifies
Bitcoin briefly fell below $76,000 during light trading over the weekend, retreating about 40% from its 2025 peak, marking the longest monthly consecutive decline since 2018. Market participants pointed out that this round of decline was not triggered by panic selling or systemic risks, but rather a result of the disappearance of buying pressure, liquidity contraction, and weakened confidence.
Data shows that Bitcoin has been slow to respond to geopolitical tensions, a weakening dollar, and rebounds in risk assets, and recent volatility in precious metals has not led to capital rotation. Spot ETFs continue to see net outflows, institutional buying has significantly cooled, and market depth remains over 30% lower than the peak in October last year.
Analysts generally believe that the adjustment cycle has not yet ended. Kaiko expects that Bitcoin may need another 6 to 9 months to see a substantial recovery; some institutions also warn that Bitcoin may find it difficult to reach new highs within the next 1,000 days. Overall, price, correlation, and market sentiment are all under pressure simultaneously.
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