Zhou Yanling: 1.30 Bitcoin BTC and Ethereum ETH Latest Trend Prediction Analysis and Trading Strategy
The market is panicking as the price of cryptocurrencies falls. Bitcoin has recently dropped in sync with precious metals, caught in a risk-off selling trend, highlighting its "high-leverage beta" attribute. Previously, when the dollar weakened, the market turned to precious metals for macro hedging. The reversal of yen carry trades has further intensified pressure on the crypto market; the unwinding of these trades indicates a tightening of global liquidity, which Bitcoin heavily relies on. Changes in liquidity directly affect its price movements, and yen carry trades are also an important measure of systemic liquidity. Currently, the market is closely watching Bitcoin's key support level at $80,000. In the context of declining risk appetite, accelerated leverage liquidation, and tightening liquidity, short-term volatility in the crypto market is likely to increase further.
From a technical perspective, the current trend shows that Bitcoin's daily chart indicates a continuous price decline, forming a large bearish candle followed by a slight rebound, but it remains in a downward trend overall. The hourly chart shows signs of consecutive higher lows, but it has not yet broken through the previous high resistance level. The technical indicators MACD on the hourly chart show both DIF and DEA below the zero axis, and the MACD histogram is shortening, indicating that bearish strength is weakening but still dominant. The RSI on the hourly chart is at 32.12, close to the oversold range, suggesting a potential technical rebound demand, but the daily RSI remains weak. The EMA on the hourly chart shows a bearish arrangement with the 7-period, 30-period, and 120-period moving averages, with the price clearly suppressed by the EMA7, indicating that the medium to long-term trend is still bearish.
Zhou Yanling's 1.30 Bitcoin Trading Strategy:
Short at 85000-84200, stop loss above 85800, target 82000-81200.
If the 80,000 support holds, take a light long position at 80500-81300, stop loss below 79700, target 82800-83600.
Zhou Yanling's 1.30 Ethereum Trading Strategy:
Short at 2840-2800, stop loss above 2880, target 2700-2660.
Long at 2630-2670, stop loss below 2590, target 2770-2810.
【The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Please bear the risks yourself. The article's review and publication may have delays, and the strategies may not be timely. Specific operations should follow Yanling's real-time strategies.】
This content is exclusively shared by senior analyst Zhou Yanling (WeChat public account: Zhou Yanling). The author has been engaged in cryptocurrency market investment research for over ten years, currently focusing on analysis and guidance for BTC, ETH, DOT, DOGE, LTC, FIL, EOS, XRP, BCH, ETC, BSV, and other cryptocurrency contracts/spot operations. The author has a solid theoretical foundation and practical experience, excels in combining technical and news-based operations, emphasizes capital management and risk control, and is recognized by many investors for a stable and decisive trading style, along with a friendly and responsible personality.
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