Global markets shifted into a relief rally today as the shadow of a trans-Atlantic trade war began to lift. The recovery followed a high-stakes geopolitical pivot by U.S. President Donald Trump, who abruptly de-escalated his pursuit of Greenland and withdrew looming tariff threats against dissenting European allies.

Bitcoin ( BTC) spent the day in a tug-of-war between macro optimism and local resistance. After a sharp nosedive to $88,200—triggered by market jitters following the president’s initial “ crypto hub” rhetoric—the top cryptocurrency clawed back to $90,000.

The intraday action remained volatile. A mid-morning dip to $88,500 at 10:30 a.m. EST was quickly bought up, pushing the price to $89,250 by noon, a modest 2.2% recovery from 24 hours earlier. Despite this bounce, the weekly outlook remains heavy, with bitcoin down approximately 7% over the last seven days and its total market capitalization hovering just under the $1.8 trillion mark.

The stabilization in crypto mirrored a broader surge in traditional equities. Markets reacted positively to the “Greenland framework” announced alongside NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, which replaced military and tariff threats with a diplomatic roadmap.

Read more: Trump’s ‘Greenland Framework’ Deal Lights up Stock Markets and Crypto Snaps Higher

In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 led the charge, surging 1.73% (914.25 points) to close at 53,688.89. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng followed with a modest gain of 0.17%. In Europe, the FTSE 100 edged up 0.12% to 10,150.05.

In the U.S., Wall Street saw a decisive “risk-on” move. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 423.73 points to 49,500.96, while the S&P 500 rose 51.13 points to 6,926.75, and the Nasdaq jumped 1.01% to 23,459.84 as investors shook off the extreme rhetoric of previous days.

Bitcoin’s sideways movement also coincided with the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. The report offered a cooling narrative, with headline PCE landing at 2.8% and core PCE (which excludes food and energy) at 2.9%. As the Federal Reserve’s primary inflation metric, the PCE is favored over the Consumer Price Index (CPI) because it adjusts for shifts in consumer behavior.

Analysts note that while a 2.5% to 2.9% range is historically “neutral,” the combination of easing inflation and low jobless claims provides the White House with fresh ammunition to lobby for deeper rate cuts—a move the Fed has remained reluctant to make.

Meanwhile, bitcoin’s high correlation with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq during the first weeks of the year has reignited a fierce ideological divide. Critics contend that bitcoin’s tendency to move in lockstep with tech stocks “torpedoes” its claim as a safe-haven asset or “digital gold.” If it falls when trade tensions rise, they argue, it cannot be a hedge against systemic risk.

However, proponents maintain that this correlation is a symptom of institutional adoption and is only temporary. They argue that bitcoin’s long-term scarcity will eventually decouple it from traditional markets, allowing it to outperform all conventional assets as it has for the past decade.

Expectations for bitcoin have shifted from an “explosive rally” to a period of “prolonged consolidation.” While the geopolitical de-escalation in Greenland provided a brief relief bounce to $90,000, the consensus among technical and institutional analysts suggests that bitcoin is facing a difficult “mid-cycle” grind.

Short-term support is firmly established between $88,000 and $84,000, but technical analysts at Dailyforex warn that a break below $84,000 could trigger a deeper “unwinding” toward $80,000. On the other hand, the major overhead resistance sits at the $98,400 level—the short-term holder cost basis—and the psychological $100,000 barrier. According to Glassnode, until bitcoin reclaims these levels, the market remains in a “fragile recovery” phase similar to early 2022.

• What sparked today’s global rally? U.S. President Trump eased trade tensions by withdrawing tariff threats and pivoting on Greenland.
• How did bitcoin react? BTC swung between $88,200 and $90,000, reflecting volatility tied to macro and local resistance.
• Which markets led gains? Japan’s Nikkei surged 1.73%, while U.S. indices posted strong risk-on moves across the board.
• What role did inflation data play? The PCE index cooled to 2.8%, fueling speculation about potential Fed rate cuts later in 2026.

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