Witnessed history.

CN
Rocky
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4 hours ago

Witnessing history! Today, the gold price has directly broken through the ceiling of 4700+ USD!

My friends are all asking: "Is it still a good time to get in? Is it too high to buy now?" On the surface, this surge is triggered by the Greenland incident and Trump's tariffs on eight European countries, creating a "black swan" effect that has sparked risk-averse sentiment. However, as someone who has been heavily invested since 2024 and has not moved my position, I want to say: don't just focus on the news; the underlying logic has already changed.

Gold today is no longer the technical trading commodity it used to be; it is now the "ballast" in the new order.

👇 These three core logics are the reasons I hold on tightly:

1️⃣ Geopolitics is no longer "growing pains," but "the new normal."

Look at the current situation: instability in the Middle East, tensions in the Taiwan Strait, the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict, and turmoil in Africa… Previously, buying gold for hedging was "a nice addition," but now it is "a lifeline." More importantly, central banks around the world (especially in emerging markets) are buying gold like crazy! An average of over 1000 tons will be purchased each year from 2024 to 2025. This is not for speculation; it is about "de-dollarization," exchanging US Treasury bonds for real gold. Therefore, as long as geopolitical chaos persists, the floor for gold will continue to rise. The more chaotic it gets, the more you need to hold on.

2️⃣ Don't be fooled by nominal interest rates; focus on "real interest rates."

Many people have a misconception: high US interest rates mean gold should fall. This is a huge mistake! What gold fears is "real interest rates." Although nominal rates look high, the core PCE is still above 3%, and with energy transition and supply chain restructuring, inflation is not coming down. Look at the TIPS yields, which have already turned downward in the second half of 2025; this means the opportunity cost of holding gold is decreasing. As long as real interest rates go down, gold will be in demand. The current environment of "high nominal rates + high sticky inflation" is simply a breeding ground for gold.

3️⃣ Trust crisis: when "credit" collapses, gold is the only anchor.

This point is the most painful but also the most real. The US deficit rate has exceeded 7%, with a debt of 38 trillion, and they are engaging in "financial weaponization." This has directly triggered a global trust crisis. The result is that sovereign nations are leading the way in dumping US Treasuries and hoarding gold. We have entered a "super cycle of commodities," and everyone realizes that holding physical assets is much more reliable than "future promises." Therefore, gold today is not just an investment; it is an "insurance policy." What you are buying is not the price, but the right to survive under systemic risk.

🚀 In 2026, besides gold, these two brothers might outperform gold; I am also keeping an eye on these two in the non-ferrous sector:

Silver (offensive player): Known as "the poor man's gold," but its industrial properties (chips, photovoltaics, electric vehicles) make it very elastic in 2025. With industrial demand recovering in 2026, it is likely to outperform gold.

Copper (the rebound king): The "oil of the AI era." Data centers and power grids cannot do without it, but mining companies are too slow and expensive to open new mines. With a supply-demand mismatch, valuations are bound to rise.

The strategy is simple: gold as a safety net, silver for offense, and copper for rebound. Three arrows launched together.

💡 Since you want to get in, let me share a "low-cost trial" method.

I know many friends want to participate but feel hesitant looking at the 4700 gold price and worry about the platform's usability. Recently, I have been using #BitgetTradFi, just in time for their second gold trading competition. Instead of just watching, why not take advantage of it and practice a bit:

🎁 New user benefits are quite generous:

1️⃣ First order benefit: New users who trade over 1 USDT can draw three blind boxes, and the winning rate is 100% (this is very generous).

2️⃣ Daily tasks: Completing small tasks daily can earn you another draw, which is also guaranteed to win.

3️⃣ Large rewards: Meeting trading volume targets can share a prize pool of $50888+, with a chance to win physical gold Mahjong prizes!

To be honest, #Bitget's benefits this time are quite substantial, with a low entry barrier, suitable for friends who want to familiarize themselves with gold volatility. My practical advice: don't be greedy; start with a few hundred USDT to test the waters, feel the platform's slippage, depth, and fees. If you find it comfortable, then consider increasing your position later. 🧐

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