Article editing time: December 16, 2025, 20:00. All opinions do not constitute any investment advice! For learning and communication purposes only.
Discipline hides infinite possibilities in life, and its depth also measures the height of life. Every step of deep cultivation has its own echo; the more disciplined one is, the further they go. I am Fuzhu, deeply engaged in analyzing mainstream cryptocurrency trends, breaking down market logic based on professional accumulation, and providing pragmatic trading ideas.
Trading in the cryptocurrency market is not an overnight effort but a long-term practice that requires patience. Do not let short-term gains and losses disrupt your strategy. As long as the direction is firm and the timing and market pulse are accurately grasped, the win rate will steadily improve. Investment is also a journey of growth; I hope to encourage fellow crypto enthusiasts: improve while operating, review and consolidate through gains and losses, deepen risk awareness, and calibrate mental coordinates, so as to calmly avoid risks and grow into mature investors.
The foundation of trading is survival; profits are merely a natural reward. Before every trade, it is essential to examine the operational logic and the safety of the principal, refining and optimizing a personalized trading system. My advice may not help you get rich overnight, but it can guide you for the long term—only those who firmly stand in the cryptocurrency market and persevere until the end can achieve what they seek.
Remember, the darkest hour is just before dawn; you are never alone on the road to pursuing your goals. I am willing to walk alongside you towards the light.
The overall cryptocurrency market is under downward pressure, with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) continuing their recent correction trends, influenced by year-end cautious sentiment among investors and expectations of U.S. economic data. Market trading volume has increased, but buying pressure is insufficient. The global total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has slightly retreated, with BTC and ETH as leaders, whose price fluctuations directly drag down the entire sector.
Today, BTC opened at approximately $86,390, reaching a high of $87,299 and a low of $85,266, with overall volatility being modest. From a broader perspective, BTC has accumulated a decline of about 3% this week, currently hovering around $87,000, just a step away from the December low. Recent external bearish factors include significant signs of institutional fund outflows; Grayscale's report shows a net outflow of over $500 million from BTC ETFs. Meanwhile, historical data indicates that the average increase of BTC in December is limited, and the current correction may be a year-end washout. If it effectively breaks below the $84,000 level, it may further test the psychological level of $80,000; conversely, a rebound to $88,000 requires stability in the U.S. stock market.
The daily Bollinger Bands are still narrowing, currently testing the support of the lower Bollinger band. If it breaks below the lower band, it will test recent lows. The MACD indicator's DIF and DEA are beginning to converge, showing signs of a potential death cross, indicating that a trend change is imminent. The 4-hour level has seen some rebound, but the volume is insufficient; KDJ is starting to converge, and the Bollinger channel is opening, supported by the lower Bollinger band at $85,400. In the short term, key support levels to watch are the $84,500-$85,000 range; if lost, it may test the $80,000 level. Resistance above is at $88,000.
In terms of operations, it is recommended to go long in the $84,500-$85,000 range, targeting $86,000-$87,000. Short in the $89,000-$89,500 range, targeting $87,000-$86,000.
ETH is significantly affected by BTC's movements, while the activity in the DeFi and NFT sectors has intensified selling pressure. Technically, ETH is testing the 200-day moving average support (around $2,900). Today's multiple tests of the $2,900 level have all effectively broken down, indicating that short-term support is valid; if lost, it may accelerate the test of $2,700.
In terms of operations, it is recommended to enter small positions in the $2,850-$2,900 range, targeting $2,980-$3,030. A light short can be taken in the $3,050-$3,000 range, targeting $2,900-$2,850.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion; strategies are for reference only and should not be used as investment basis. Any risks taken are at your own discretion.
This article is exclusively provided by Fuzhu in the cryptocurrency circle, representing only Fuzhu's unique perspective. Please indicate the source when reprinting. Manage your positions reasonably and avoid heavy or full positions. May my analysis serve as a lighthouse in the vast sea of the cryptocurrency market, guiding your journey.
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