Cryptocurrency News
December 12 Hot Topics:
1. The U.S. Senate Banking Committee may postpone the review of the "Cryptocurrency Market Structure Bill" until 2026.
2. DTCC has received SEC approval to launch DTC custodial asset tokenization services, planned to go live in 2026.
3. Coinbase may release new features for self-operated tokenized U.S. stocks on December 17.
4. The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a no-action letter to four prediction market operators, including Polymarket, regarding data rule issues.
5. Terra founder Do Kwon has been sentenced to 15 years in prison for large-scale fraud.
Trading Insights
Key points from the latest Federal Reserve FOMC statement: 1. Interest rate adjustment: A 25 basis point cut to 3.50%-3.75%, marking the third consecutive rate cut; Milan advocates a 50 basis point cut, while Goolsbee and Schmidt support maintaining the current rate. 2. Rate outlook: Future adjustments will consider the magnitude and timing, with the dot plot median unchanged from September, expecting one rate cut each in the next two years. 3. Inflation situation: Inflation has rebounded from the beginning of the year and remains high, consistent with previous statements, with the SEP report lowering next year's inflation expectations. 4. Economic performance: Economic activity is expanding moderately, with high uncertainty about the outlook (statement unchanged), and GDP growth forecasts for the next three years have been raised. 5. Labor market: The description of the unemployment rate as "low" has been removed, indicating an increased risk of job losses in recent months, with next year's unemployment rate forecast maintained at 4.4%. 6. Reserve bond purchases: Starting December 12, the purchase of Treasury bills will begin, with plans to buy $40 billion within 30 days; the limit on permanent overnight repurchase operations has been lifted.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the real trading signals from the Big White Community this week. Congratulations to those who followed along; if your trades are not going well, you can come and test the waters.
Data is real, and each trade has a screenshot from the time it was sent.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks About Coins*
Bilibili and YouTube account: Daquan777
BTC
Analysis
After the interest rate meeting ended in the early morning, the market fell into a temporary situation of positive news landing, not to mention that Powell's speech and the dot plot were not as dovish as investors had imagined. Overall, the risk market has seen some emotional pullback, especially with a large amount of data and the uncertainty of Japan's interest rate hike coming up, which should be a standard "Sell the news" scenario.
However, the Fed's RMP will inject some liquidity into the market, and today there is also good news stimulating the market from a formal letter jointly sent to SEC Chairman Paul Atkins by bipartisan leaders of the U.S. House Financial Services Committee, urging Paul Atkins to expedite allowing ordinary American retirement investors to purchase alternative assets (including cryptocurrencies) in their 401(k) plans. A rebound to around 94100 can be a short entry, with targets looking towards 92600-91600. A pullback to around 91235-91000 can be a long entry, with rebound targets looking towards 91900-93000.
ETH
Analysis
There is bipartisan agreement to formally include crypto assets in the U.S. retirement system. Once the SEC and the Department of Labor amend the rules as requested in the letter, BTC and ETH spot ETFs will naturally become compliant assets for 401(k) plans, creating a long-term, stable, and continuous buying force for retirement funds. A pullback to around 3222-3195 can be a long entry, with rebound targets looking towards 3285-3315. A rebound to around 3315-3335 can be a short entry, with targets looking towards 396-3250.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific trading advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article may have some lag; if you have any questions, feel free to consult.
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
