Based on the analysis of classic bullish reversal patterns appearing on long-term charts, Ethereum's Ether (ETH) may rise over 80% relative to Bitcoin (BTC) in 2026.
Key Points:
The ETH/BTC chart indicates a potential move towards the 0.059-0.063 BTC range in 2026.
Resistance at the long-term trend line may lead to a pullback of this trading pair to 0.0175 BTC.
As of December, the two-week chart of ETH/BTC presents a textbook inverse head and shoulders (IH&S) pattern, a classic bullish reversal pattern that typically appears after a long downtrend.
The left shoulder formed during a weak period at the end of 2024, followed by a sharp sell-off in April 2025, creating the head around 0.0176 BTC. The subsequent recovery established a higher low in the fourth quarter of 2025, forming the right shoulder.
The neckline is located around 0.0400 BTC, positioned between the 50-period (red) and 200-period (blue) exponential moving averages (EMAs).
Analysts point out that a breakout in this area will likely confirm the IH&S pattern, paving the way for a target price move to 0.063 BTC in 2026.
This upward target is 80% higher than the ETH/BTC rate recorded on Thursday.
The current rebound in ETH/BTC is similar to the breakout following its accumulation phase from 2019-2020.
The trading pair rose nearly 450% after bottoming out in the same 0.0160-0.0200 BTC demand range.
ETH's recovery in 2025 stems from this same structural bottom, with prices now squeezing into an early-stage resistance cluster similar to that before the parabolic expansion in 2020 (indicated by the red circles in the above chart).
Market experts believe that if this pattern continues to play out, ETH/BTC could climb to the 0.059 BTC Fibonacci range, aligning with the 2026 IH&S breakout trajectory.
However, ETH bulls will need to prove that the long-term downtrend has indeed ended.
ETH remains constrained by a multi-year descending trend line, which has rejected every breakout attempt against BTC since 2017.
Technical analysts state that failing again at this obstacle will weaken the IH&S and the pattern setup, increasing the risk of a pullback to the long-term support at 0.0175 BTC in 2026.
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Original: “Ether vs. Bitcoin (BTC): ETH Price Poised for 80% Rally in 2026”
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