Analysis of Cryptocurrency Market on Double 12: BTC and ETH Consolidate and Gather Strength, Bullish Signals Gradually Emerge
On December 12, 2025, the cryptocurrency market continued the previous day's trend of fluctuating recovery. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), after a long period of bottom consolidation, completed a slight increase from the evening of December 11 to the early morning of December 12. The market sentiment seems to be shifting, and the logic for short-term bullish positions is gradually becoming clearer.
Market Review: Stabilization at the Bottom Followed by Fluctuating Recovery
Looking back at the market performance on December 11, the two major cryptocurrencies exhibited a pattern of "initial decline followed by rise, with consolidation dominating." Ethereum had a clear fluctuation range that day, peaking at 3273 points and dipping to a low of 3143 points. For most of the day, it maintained a sideways consolidation, only experiencing a significant upward movement during the early morning hours, ultimately achieving a slight increase. Bitcoin's movement was highly synchronized, choosing to break upward after a long period of consolidation at the bottom. As of December 12, the price has consistently remained above the 89000 support level, showing no signs of effective breakdown.
From a volume perspective, the market trading volume on the 11th significantly decreased, reflecting investors' cautious mindset as the year-end approaches. Previous holders had accumulated certain profits, with most choosing to wait for a clear direction, while outside funds did not rush to enter, leading to a prolonged narrow fluctuation until funds slightly entered in the early morning, pushing prices upward.
Technical Analysis: Effective Support + Momentum Shift, Bullish Signals Highlighted
Bitcoin (BTC): Support Solidified, Pressure Level Breakthrough Imminent
From the 4-hour candlestick chart, Bitcoin repeatedly tested the critical support level of 89000 on the 11th without showing effective breakdown, confirming the support strength in this range. The current price is challenging the pressure level of 91800-91900. If it can stabilize and not fall back within this range, it will form a complete upward logic of "support-breakthrough."
On the indicator front, the ACD indicator shows that bearish momentum is continuously weakening, and a golden cross signal is about to form, indicating that short-term upward momentum is accumulating. In terms of upper space, after breaking the 91800-91900 pressure level, the next key target is 92900, with further upper pressure focusing on the upper Bollinger Band at 93700. These two points will become important references for whether the bulls can continue to exert strength.
Ethereum (ETH): Fluctuating Testing, Synchronized Bullish Resonance
Ethereum resonates with Bitcoin's movement, also stabilizing around the core support level of 31500 on the 11th. The current price fluctuates around 32035, with a doji candlestick appearing during the day, indicating a brief contest between bulls and bears at this position, with bearish strength gradually diminishing.
From a technical perspective, Ethereum's 4-hour chart also shows signs of stabilization. If it can break upward through the current fluctuation range and the short-term pressure level of 3338, it will open up further upward space. Key take-profit levels to focus on above are 3300 and 3338, with further targets extending to 3445 after a breakthrough.
Market Sentiment and Operational Strategy: Cautiously Seizing Bullish Opportunities
As the year-end approaches, investors' risk appetite in the cryptocurrency market has generally decreased. The willingness to take profits from previous gains and the cautious attitude of outside funds have jointly led to the recent low-volatility sideways pattern. However, from a technical perspective, both BTC and ETH have completed bottom support tests, and bullish signals are gradually becoming clearer, currently at a critical juncture of "consolidation before choosing a direction."
Specific Operational Suggestions
Bitcoin: If the price maintains above the 91800-91900 range, consider entering long positions decisively; after breaking the 4-hour midline, increase positions accordingly, with take-profit targets at 92900 and 93700, and set a stop-loss below the 89000 support level.
Ethereum: Use the breakthrough of the 4-hour midline or the 3338 pressure level as a long signal, building positions in batches; prioritize take-profit at 3300 and 3338, extending to 3445 after a breakthrough, with stop-loss referencing the core support level of 31500.
Position Management: The current market is still in a consolidation phase, and uncertainty has not been completely eliminated. It is recommended to adopt a strategy of "light positions for trial and error, increasing positions in batches" to avoid heavy entry at a single time point; if the market unexpectedly breaks key support levels, timely stop-loss and exit are necessary to adjust operational logic.
Conclusion
In the short term, the bullish logic in the cryptocurrency market has technical support, and the probability of BTC and ETH breaking upward after solidifying the bottom is gradually increasing. However, caution is needed regarding the volatility risks brought by year-end capital flows. Strict adherence to stop-loss discipline is required in operations, seizing clear bullish opportunities while remaining cautiously observant. Future focus should be on tracking the breakthrough of key levels such as 91800 (BTC) and 3338 (ETH), as the market direction may become clearer after these breakthroughs.
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