Bearish Gravity Pulls XRP Below $2—Can Bulls Break the Curse?

CN
1 day ago

XRP is not alone today as the entire crypto economy is close to dropping below the $3 trillion mark, down 2.85%. XRP itself has lost 3.5% against the greenback over the last day. At the hourly level, XRP is locked in a gritty downtrend, careening below the psychologically charged $2.00 mark with enough bearish volume to silence the optimists.

Resistance zones between $2.05 and $2.10 remain unbreached, despite several ambitious but ultimately weak attempts. The most recent candle on the 1-hour chart is drenched in red and dripping with momentum, suggesting traders are increasingly allergic to holding above the $2.00 threshold.

Bearish Gravity Pulls XRP Below $2—Can Bulls Break the Curse?

XRP/USD 1-hour chart via Bitfinex on Dec. 11, 2025.

Zooming out to the 4-hour chart, XRP’s descent becomes even more poetic—think rounded tops and descending channels, the kind of structure only a technical analyst could love. The $1.98 support zone is valiantly holding, but just barely. After a botched breakout on December 9—arguably the crypto equivalent of a bad first date—the price now clings to lower highs with volume spikes signaling a growing crowd of doubters. Unless XRP stages a strong comeback above $2.00, this could become a study in slow-motion slippage.

Bearish Gravity Pulls XRP Below $2—Can Bulls Break the Curse?

XRP/USD 4-hour chart via Bitfinex on Dec. 11, 2025.

The daily chart is a macro moodboard of caution. Since collapsing from the $3.10 high, XRP has traced a classic descending triangle—a shape that screams “distribution phase.” The inferred moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is likely diverging bearish, supported by broad downward pressure and a telltale lack of bullish volume. With resistance sitting heavy at $2.25 to $2.30, and key support lounging around $1.80, XRP needs a jolt or risks being ghosted by short-term speculators.

Bearish Gravity Pulls XRP Below $2—Can Bulls Break the Curse?

XRP/USD daily chart via Bitfinex on Dec. 11, 2025.

Oscillator readings reinforce the standoff: the relative strength index (RSI) sits at a lukewarm 39.7, the Stochastic at a chilly 22.8, and the commodity channel index (CCI) dives into triple-digit negative territory. Not one of these indicators is screaming conviction. Momentum barely flickers into bullish territory at -0.04271, while the MACD level (12, 26) sulks at -0.05954, mirroring the broader apathy. In short, the oscillators have checked out, and they’re not leaving a tip.

Moving averages (MAs) read like a parade of rejection letters: the 10-period exponential moving average (EMA) and simple moving average (SMA) are both seated well above price at 2.06 and 2.07, respectively, with every major time horizon through the 200-period EMA and SMA throwing shade from even higher. The cumulative message? XRP is facing institutional-style resistance layered thick, and any serious price recovery would need to slice through a stack of moving averages like a crypto sushi chef.

Outlook for the remainder of December remains subdued unless a catalyst—say, exchange-traded fund (ETF) speculation or cross-border fintech headlines—swoops in to change the tune. Analysts are split: some suggest a cozy range near $2.08 to $2.09, while the adventurous dare to pencil in targets near $2.85. If XRP can sustain a decisive move past $2.07, a 16% pop could be on the cards, but anything below $1.95 spells further bleeding into the $1.80 zone.

Looking toward 2026, buckle up. Forecasts swing from a conservative $1.02 low to a dreamy $4.78, with fantasy-fueled chatter on social media pumping projections as high as $15—or a downright delusional $1,000, backed by gold pegs and Ripple’s potential moonshot market cap. While these lofty visions may tickle the imagination, seasoned traders will be watching for regulatory shifts, tokenized asset adoption, and real-world utility before buying the hype. For now, XRP remains a fascinating paradox—globally ambitious yet technically cautious.

Bull Verdict:

If XRP can reclaim and hold above the $2.07 resistance with conviction—preferably accompanied by volume that doesn’t whisper but roars—there’s room for optimism. A breakout could push toward the $2.25 to $2.30 zone, setting the stage for a retest of broader December highs and possibly even $2.85, should market catalysts align. Momentum needs a caffeine shot, but structurally, a bullish reversal isn’t off the table.

Bear Verdict:

Failure to defend the $1.95 support would be the market’s polite way of saying “exit stage left.” With all major moving averages stacked overhead like a bearish wedding cake and volume favoring breakdowns, the path of least resistance remains to the downside. A slip toward $1.80—or worse, a drawn-out consolidation below $2.00—would keep XRP firmly in bear territory, with December closing more whimper than roar.

  • Where is XRP trading now?
    XRP is hovering between $1.98 and $2.00 as of December 11, 2025.
  • Is XRP’s trend bullish or bearish?
    All major timeframes show a bearish trend with lower highs and fading volume.
  • What are XRP’s key support and resistance levels?
    Support sits at $1.95, with resistance between $2.05 and $2.10.
  • Could XRP rally in December?
    A breakout above $2.07 with volume could spark upside toward $2.85.

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