Zhou Yanling: Latest Trend Prediction Analysis and Trading Strategy for 12.5 Bitcoin BTC and Ethereum ETH
The U.S. non-farm payroll data for November, originally scheduled to be released tonight (December 5) at 21:30, has been postponed to December 16 at 21:30 and will also include the previously canceled October business survey data. Although the market has clearly been in a state of fluctuation and adjustment due to recent cautious sentiment and the anticipation of significant data to be released next week, the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. has dropped to 191,000, a three-year low, which has also put some pressure on cryptocurrency prices. However, supported by expectations of interest rate cuts and buying pressure, along with the market waiting for key U.S. inflation data to assess the Federal Reserve's policy outlook for next week, a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish factors is evident. In the short term, operations need to be particularly cautious; until a breakout from the fluctuation range occurs, neither bullish nor bearish positions should be overly extended.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart for Bitcoin shows that prices have been fluctuating at high levels recently. After a deep V-shaped rollercoaster during the week, the price is currently capped at 94,000, with weak short-term rebound strength. The hourly chart indicates a short-term fluctuation trend, with prices oscillating between 91,700 and 92,700, testing the EMA7 moving average support multiple times. The MACD indicator on the hourly chart is below the zero line, with the DIF and DEA gradually converging, indicating a weakening of bearish momentum, but a golden cross has not yet formed. The RSI on the hourly chart is around 45, not entering overbought or oversold territory, suggesting a neutral market sentiment. The EMA on the hourly chart shows that the short-term EMA7 is merging with EMA30, while EMA120 maintains an upward trend. Overall, the bullish trend remains intact, but there are signs of a potential short-term peak in the rebound, so caution is advised for chasing long positions. In terms of intraday operations, Yanling personally leans towards short positions.
Zhou Yanling's 12.5 Bitcoin Trading Strategy:
Short at 93,000-92,200, stop loss above 94,100, target 91,000-90,200, continue to look for a decline towards around 88,500.
Long at 88,500-89,500, stop loss below 87,500, target 90,500-91,500.
Zhou Yanling's 12.5 Ethereum Trading Strategy:
Short at 3,220-3,170, stop loss above 3,270, target 3,030-2,980.
Long at 2,980-3,030, stop loss below 2,930, target 3,080-3,120.
【The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Please bear the risks yourself. The article's review and publication may have delays, and the strategies may not be timely. Specific operations should follow Yanling's real-time strategies.】
This content is exclusively shared by senior analyst Zhou Yanling (WeChat public account: Zhou Yanling). The author has been engaged in market investment research in the cryptocurrency space for over ten years, currently focusing on analysis and guidance for BTC, ETH, DOT, DOGE, LTC, FIL, EOS, XRP, BCH, ETC, BSV, and other cryptocurrency contracts/spot operations. With a solid theoretical foundation and practical experience, the author excels in combining technical and news-based operations, emphasizing capital management and risk control. The trading style is steady and decisive, recognized by many investment friends for a friendly and responsible character combined with sharp and decisive operations.
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