Yesterday's market was a historic level of secondary probing; what level will be the bottom this time?
This week is data week, starting with the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike policy, which stirred the market significantly, coupled with rumors about Powell's departure, leading to a generally pessimistic state in the entire market. At this point, the dominance of the major trend is already quite evident.
Stop getting tangled up in whether the bull market is starting or the bear market is ending, and don't try to guess the "top and bottom" of the market; just focus on the part we can understand. Sister Ran has always been relatively conservative and does not open positions without confidence. If you share the same view as Sister Ran, then we can have a discussion.
Bitcoin: once again probing below the 84,000 mark; Ethereum: synchronously dipping around 2,718, giving back a week's rebound in just one day. Today's rebound is also relatively weak, and with the influence of news in the evening, there will likely be a significant market movement. A further rebound will be a good opportunity for us to enter short positions. The monthly line is closing bearish and has currently broken through the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, making it highly probable that we will see another probe this month. Bitcoin is looking at around 75,000, and Ethereum is around 2,680-2,450; at this time, spot trading can be entered in batches.
December is also the last month of 2025. Currently, Bitcoin is fluctuating around 87,000, with short-term support at 85,000. If it breaks, we will continue to look down at 80,600, which is strong support. Ethereum is currently around 2,800, with first support at 2,750-2,620; if it doesn't break, we can consider going long. There is no forever one-sided market; based on key resistance and support levels, both high shorts and low longs can be profitable. Be flexible in grasping the waves.
A calm sea does not cultivate excellent players;
Anyone who achieves great results must have experienced great winds and waves.
The essence of "respecting the market" is to respect human greed and fear— the market is a mirror of human nature. Recognizing weaknesses and going with the trend is the way to navigate through cycles.
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