Dogecoin Wicks Below Key Support — Fakeout or Start of Larger Correction?

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coindesk
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1 hour ago


Dogecoin broke through the critical $0.1350 support level on exceptional sell volume before staging a rapid rebound, signaling a high-volatility battle between distribution flows and opportunistic accumulation.

News Background

• DOGE fell from $0.1387 to $0.1358 as selling pressure intensified during broader market weakness
• Volume surged to 854M, approximately 180% above its daily average, during the breakdown phase
• Intraday lows reached $0.1322 before buyers stepped in, reversing momentum late in the session
• Whale activity dropped to two-month lows, shifting near-term direction toward technical drivers rather than on-chain behavior
• Market correlation increased as risk assets faced synchronized pressure, amplifying DOGE’s initial decline

Technical Analysis

Breaking below $0.1350 marked a meaningful technical failure, completing a short-term bearish reversal after weeks of consolidating above ascending trend support. The breakdown unfolded with textbook distribution signatures: a large volume burst, a sharp candle body expansion, and limited initial bid depth. This put DOGE into a structurally weaker posture as price moved beneath prior trendline support.

However, the subsequent rebound complicated the picture. DOGE swiftly recovered from the $0.1322 low and retested the lost support zone, forming early signs of a double-bottom attempt. Momentum indicators on mid-timeframes showed bullish divergence, and accumulation footprints appeared during the $0.1327–$0.1350 band, implying institutions or disciplined swing traders absorbed the selloff.

The reclaimed intraday structure remains fragile. DOGE now sits beneath layered resistance between $0.1362 and $0.1386, a zone that must be broken to shift momentum decisively back in favor of bulls. Without a close above these levels, the broader structure retains a bearish tilt despite the recovery bounce.

Price Action Summary

DOGE traded within a $0.0065 range across the session, sliding from $0.1387 to $0.1358 before collapsing toward $0.1322 on a massive 854M volume spike. Late-session price action reversed sharply as DOGE jumped 2.7% from $0.1327 to $0.1362 on renewed buying. Volume peaked again at 02:11 with 4.17M units during the retest of broken support, but follow-through stalled at $0.1362. The pair now consolidates near $0.1358 with resistance pressuring any attempts at a sustained rebound.

What Traders Should Know

• $0.1350 is now the central pivot — resistance unless reclaimed with conviction
• A break above $0.1362–$0.1386 opens the path back toward $0.1400–$0.1420
• A retest and failure at $0.1322 likely signals continuation toward $0.1300 psychological support
• Volume spikes confirm institutional involvement; continued elevated flows favor momentum trending rather than ranging
• Structure remains mixed: bearish breakdown intact, but recovery bounce prevents clear continuation signal — next move hinges on $0.1350 resolution

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