Hello everyone, I am Lao Lü. The current trend is as follows: the main focus is on doing as you please. Let's take Bitcoin as an example. Initially, we set $88,300 as a resistance level and were bearish on Bitcoin. The price only dropped by $3,000, then rebounded and broke the high, even reaching above $93,000. Therefore, at 10 PM on Friday, we urgently reminded everyone not to chase the highs. This is actually a technical aspect, which is the MACD divergence technique. At that time, the price should be considered as a live teaching moment. We anticipated a strong resistance at $92,868, but we did not expect this resistance to directly cause Bitcoin to drop back to the starting point. This is actually not much related to technical analysis; it mainly has to do with the influence of the East University. As for what kind of influence, it’s not convenient to say here, but everyone should have seen the news. Why did the market only react on Monday? Because, in terms of time, there is a one-day time difference between Europe and America and East University. This week will be the starting point for the dual currency bull-bear competition and also the decisive moment for December. If a winner can be determined this week, the monthly line for December will be much easier to navigate.

The focus is still on Ethereum, which includes an ideal mid-line bottom-fishing strategy.

We missed the top twice for Ethereum, always falling short by $100. The last time we planned to short at $3,750, but it dropped directly at $3,650. This time, we planned to short at $3,200, but it dropped directly at $3,100—again, a $100 shortfall! Luck hasn’t arrived yet, and we need to continue waiting. So, whether we can continue to catch this bottom this time depends on luck. To conclude, the bottom-fishing price is in the range of $2,460-$2,430. We have been mentioning this range for a long time, and it is still unclear whether there will be an opportunity, but we are still making arrangements in advance. We detailed this range in a previous article. If you are preparing to bottom-fish in the spot market, you can start getting ready. If the price cannot hold at this level, then bottom-fishing later will be meaningless because the next bull market will be two to three years away. If it really breaks $2,400, I will talk to you about matters two or three years from now—what's the point? Just like a few years ago, when Lao Lü said to start bottom-fishing Ethereum at $888, and now it has become bullish, but who still remembers? However, this article is still here. Therefore, there is no point in doing meaningless things. Having discussed the bottom-fishing strategy, let’s continue to talk about the intraday trading strategy for the dual currency.

For Ethereum, the lower support is at $2,800. You might say it’s weak, but it hasn’t broken the support yet. The drop this morning was too fast; most people were still asleep. So, now it’s not ideal to enter a short position directly near the support level. The ideal position is to wait for a rebound to short again, or to chase if it breaks $2,800 on the four-hour chart. These are the only two options. Currently, Ethereum's drop is concentrated around 8 AM; this one-hour candlestick is key for future bullish and bearish movements. The top drop starting point is $3,000, and the short position must be set at this point, which is also the stop-loss point for the short. If the current price continues to hold above $2,800 and rebounds, we have two positions to short: one at $2,900 and another at $2,958. Then, we analyze the space issue. If we treat the current price as extremely weak, then shorting at $2,900 must aim for a break below $2,800; otherwise, the space is limited. So, the first step is to short at this position once and exit near $2,800. The focus is still on targeting the short at $2,958, which is the price level for the top-bottom conversion. At this position, the short stop-loss can be set well, and even if $2,800 does not break, there is still a profit space of over $100. Currently, regardless of whether it’s bullish or bearish, the market is just oscillating after completing its movements. Since $2,620, it has been like this, which is also why the previous bullish positions were uncomfortable. The price is not that it doesn’t rise, but it rises and then falls. Similarly, we do not rule out the possibility that the price will rise after it falls.

For Bitcoin, switching between bullish and bearish is easy. Recently, many bloggers on "X" have been lamenting. Yesterday, they were envious of those who bottom-fished earlier, but today, they probably don’t feel envious anymore. The current issue is whether to run or continue holding the bottom that was caught. With today’s big bearish candlestick, can it stabilize tomorrow? My suggestion is: watch if $85,000 can hold. If you also have spot positions, this is the key level to watch. For intraday trading, we also do not rule out a slight drop to touch $85,158 and then continue to rise strongly. So, as long as this price does not break, bulls can still have expectations. If it breaks, don’t have any illusions; $80,000 is definitely not a bottom.

For intraday trading, we will still take two steps. The first step is to keep an eye on the current lowest price of $85,560. The second step is to see if the price can touch around $85,158 and then form a rebound. If it rebounds to $87,700, it is definitely a short. If it does not touch the $85,158 area and instead rebounds directly, we prefer to short at $89,500. Therefore, in our analysis of Bitcoin, we mainly look at the $85,158 level to decide where to open short positions. Just wait for the right time.

Today: Written by Lao Lü on the evening of December 1, 2025, at 19:56. Note that all strategies are effective once and cannot be reused! Check the text version and specific entry prices in the lower right corner of the image or video.

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