Cryptocurrency News
November 25 Highlights:
1. JPMorgan disclosed in its Q3 report that its MSTR holdings amount to 2,375,683 shares, a decrease of 772,453 shares from the previous quarter.
2. CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 81%.
3. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release Q3 GDP data on December 23.
4. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) issued a no-action letter regarding the ENERGY token to Fuse Energy.
5. Tom Daly, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Canada, expressed support for a rate cut in December, subsequently raising the likelihood of a December rate cut to 81.00%.
Trading Insights
The underlying logic of making money in cryptocurrency trading: the right mindset leads to profits. Many people lose not due to technical skills but because of "impulsiveness" and "confusion"—chasing prices, holding at peaks, and cutting losses at bottoms are all symptoms of an imbalanced mindset. In fact, adhering to these three mindset principles is more effective than blindly staring at the market for 10 hours, helping you avoid pitfalls and secure profits:
Set a "loss limit" before discussing "profit targets." Before entering a trade, ask yourself: if I lose this money, will it affect my life? Mortgage payments, living expenses, and loans should never be touched; such funds will cause panic during market fluctuations. Only use "disposable" funds that you won't regret losing; this amount is your foundation for maintaining calm and your leverage to withstand volatility.
Don’t compete with the market; compete with yourself. Price movements have no "shoulds"; rises and falls are random. No matter how impatient you are, you cannot change the facts. The real challenge is controlling your greed and fear: when prices reach your target, take profits as planned without being greedy; when prices hit your stop-loss, exit decisively without hoping for a reversal. If you can do these two things, you will outperform 80% of retail investors.
Accept "imperfection" to win in the long run. No one can buy at the lowest point or sell at the highest point, and no one can make a profit every time. Constantly trying to make up for missed gains or recover lost capital will only lead to more mistakes. Cryptocurrency trading is a long-term game, not a one-time win or loss. Accept occasional losses and let go of opportunities that aren't meant for you, allowing you to patiently wait for quality market conditions and turn small profits into large ones. Ultimately, not losing is the starting point for winning in trading, and staying steady is the greatest skill. When your mindset is chaotic, even the best strategies will fail; when your mindset is stable, even a slow pace can lead to success.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the actual trades from the Big White Community this week. Congratulations to those who followed along; if your trades aren't going well, you can come and test the waters.
The data is real, and each trade has a screenshot from when it was issued.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks Coins*
BTC
Analysis
Bitcoin's weekly M top has been broken, and it is currently in a horizontal consolidation phase after a weekly decline. The current weekly candle is a bullish reversal, with a key resistance zone at 92,000 (downward FVG gap / lower Bollinger Band). We need to see if it can break and hold above 92,000; only then can it test the M top neckline resistance at 99,000. On the daily chart, it has broken out of the downward channel and transitioned to an upward channel structure. The upper resistance is at 92,000 (channel upper boundary + FVG + 0.5-0.618 range). If it breaks below the upward channel, it may retest 84,500 (downward trend line). Daily indicators MACD and RSI show signs of oversold recovery; for short-term trading, focus on the 4-hour chart for opportunities.
In the short term, on the 4-hour chart, it rebounded after testing the lower boundary and continued to rise to the upper boundary near 89,000. It remains within the 4-hour upward channel. We need to see if it can break above the channel upper boundary near 90,000; if it breaks, the next resistance level is around 91,500 (downward consolidation platform and FVG gap).
Support below is at the channel's lower boundary near 86,500; the lower consolidation range of 84,500-83,500 must not be effectively broken (holding this level may lead to horizontal consolidation; otherwise, there is room for downward movement). Indicators show that both MACD and RSI are recovering upwards, supporting a rebound.
Trading Strategy: Enter long positions in the short term, taking profits at highs; focus on buying low as the primary strategy during small-level rebounds.
ETH
Analysis
After Williams announced support for the Federal Reserve's rate cut in December last Friday, Waller and Daly also spoke on Monday in favor of the rate cut. Waller is a known Trump supporter, and now Daly also supports the cut, which is good news for the market. After all, this recent decline began when Powell announced no rate cut in December, compounded by the U.S. government shutdown, which has now ended, and liquidity is gradually returning.
The key point is that the number of doves supporting a rate cut has now exceeded half. According to CME's predictive data, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December has now exceeded 85%, so the market is gradually warming up. Not only are U.S. stocks rising, but Bitcoin is also just a step away from 90,000. This week is Thanksgiving and Black Friday, mainly focusing on the first three days. After that, we can take a break, hoping there won't be any unexpected events.
Ethereum saw a significant drop last week, hitting a previous support level before rebounding. This week, it has shown a bullish candle, with a key rebound target at 2,950 (FVG gap). If it holds above this level, we can look for 3,150 (channel upper boundary). On the daily chart, it has broken the downward channel and confirmed a retest of the downward trend line (around 2,850), with the potential to continue challenging upper resistance levels: 3,050 and 3,300 (both FVGs). If it faces resistance, it may retest the previous low support zone of 2,750-2,620. MACD and RSI show recovery momentum.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific trading advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article may have some lag; if you have any questions, feel free to consult.
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
