Hongwei's Coin: BTC and ETH Morning Report from November 24, Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis and Strategy

CN
33 minutes ago

On the morning of November 24, 2025, the cryptocurrency market showed signs of a volatile rebound. Bitcoin continued to rise over the weekend, while Ethereum followed suit but with relatively mild performance. Combining technical indicators and capital flow, the current market is at a critical juncture of a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, making short-selling opportunities near the short-term resistance levels worthy of attention.

Bitcoin: Rebound meets resistance at the upper Bollinger Band, 89000 becomes the dividing line for bulls and bears

Since the weekend, Bitcoin has started a rebound, with the price climbing from $86184 to an intraday high near $89000. As of the time of writing, it has retreated to $87752, with a maximum intraday increase of over 3.2%. From a technical perspective, the current price has touched the upper Bollinger Band on the 4-hour chart. The $89000 level is not only a previous area of dense trading but also the lower boundary of a descending channel, forming a double strong resistance; the support level below focuses on the starting point of this rebound at $86184, with further support visible at the middle Bollinger Band at $85500 and the round number of $85000.

The short-term trend shows clear conflicting signals: the 2-hour chart indicates that bullish momentum continues to accumulate, with the price starting a phase of upward movement from $80600, forming a prolonged bullish trend; however, core technical indicators have issued warnings— the Williams indicator is in the overbought range, MACD momentum is gradually weakening, and a death cross has formed in the 5-minute cycle, increasing short-term pullback pressure. In terms of capital flow, although a large amount of capital has entered the market since November 22 to drive the rebound, it is important to note the characteristics of the weekend market: foreign traders have lower participation, and the preference of Chinese traders for long positions has dominated the short-term market, while mainstream overseas capital remains primarily short, with no fundamental change in the medium to long-term bearish trend.

In terms of operational strategy, it is recommended to seize short-selling opportunities near resistance levels: $87000 as the first execution point, and $86000 as the second target; if the price breaks below $86000 and further below the middle Bollinger Band at $85500, one can follow the trend to short. Additionally, if the market continues to rise to new highs of $88000, $89000, etc., one can gradually position short orders, with a short-term target locking in a profit space of 300-500 points, while closely monitoring the formation signal of the 4-hour MACD death cross, with a high probability of a reversal occurring around 7 AM.

Ethereum: Technical pattern relatively mild, range-bound oscillation pattern unchanged

Compared to Bitcoin's strong rebound, Ethereum has shown more stability, with the price fluctuating around $2798 at the time of writing, and the technical pattern is in a relatively neutral position. The 4-hour chart shows that the upper Bollinger Band resistance for Ethereum is at $2868.5, the middle band support is at $2780, and the key support below is at $2753, with clear short-term range-bound oscillation characteristics, and bearish strength weaker than Bitcoin.

On the indicator level, Ethereum's MACD is at a certain distance from both the golden cross and death cross, with the momentum bars showing a reduction trend. If a signal of the K-line turning from green to red appears around 8 AM, a short-term bearish trend may emerge. The 12-hour chart shows that the price has just broken through the $2798 support level; if it can stabilize at this position, there may be further upward momentum, with a key focus on the breakthrough of the $3000 round number; if it fails to stabilize, it may follow Bitcoin's synchronous pullback, and the effectiveness of the support at $2753 will become critical.

In terms of operations, it is recommended to use the Bollinger Band range as the core reference, positioning short orders in the $2850-$2868.5 resistance range, targeting a drop to $2780-$2753, with a profit space of about 30-100 points; if the price breaks through the $3000 round number, the strategy should be flexibly adjusted, and the risk of trend reversal should be monitored. Currently, the 5-minute and 15-minute cycles have formed a death cross, with clear short-term pullback signals, allowing for opportunities to short in line with the trend.

November 24 Layout Sharing:

Bitcoin short at 87500-88000, take profit at 86500-86000-85500

Ethereum short at 2850-2830, take profit at 2800-2750-2700

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