Welcome to my world. I want to say that there are still many skilled teachers in the market, and I have always believed that there are greater heights and more capable people beyond what we see. Many new friends have told me about their previous teachers, but since I haven't personally experienced their abilities, I can't make a judgment. However, to be fair, based on my own experience, I have also come from being a novice teacher to where I am today, and I have changed a lot along the way. No one is perfect; everyone has weaknesses. As a teacher, I may not be humorous enough or eloquent, but I definitely have a heart willing to help you. As long as you are willing to open your heart and communicate more, we can definitely achieve a win-win cooperation.
The recent decline in Bitcoin is not merely due to fear or market sentiment. The fundamental reason lies in the dramatic changes in the global macro environment, which are unfavorable to all risk assets—Bitcoin is precisely at the top of the risk curve. The direction of the Federal Reserve's policy is a key variable. According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December is only 48.9%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate has surpassed to 51.1%; the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January next year is 49.7%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is only 18.4%. The cooling of rate cut expectations has led to a withdrawal of funds from high-risk assets, compounded by the concentration of economic data releases this week, which may further expand the volatility in the crypto market.
Bitcoin Trend Technical Analysis | November 19, 2025
As of today, Bitcoin (BTC) is maintaining a high-level oscillation structure, with market sentiment gradually becoming cautious after experiencing rapid fluctuations earlier. The current price is hovering around $93,000, with both bulls and bears repeatedly contesting in a key range, but no clear breakout direction has yet formed.
On the technical side, BTC has stabilized from a recent pullback, with the daily structure showing characteristics of "weak rebound, strong resistance." Short-term moving averages (MA10, MA20) have begun to turn upward, indicating a recovery in short-term buying, but longer-term moving averages still exert pressure on the price. Although the MACD is gradually approaching the zero line, it has not yet provided a clear bullish momentum signal, indicating that the market's bullish strength is still in a buildup phase.
From a structural perspective, $90,000 remains an important support zone before a short-term breakout. As long as this support level is not broken, Bitcoin still has the conditions for further rebounds. If it can effectively break through the $94,500–$95,000 resistance range, it may return to the main upward channel of $100,000. Conversely, if the price falls below $90,000, the adjustment space may drop to $89,000 or even lower.
Market Outlook
Overall, BTC is currently in a wide oscillation pattern characterized by "heavy resistance above, stable support below." Investors should remain patient in this range and wait for a clear trend direction. Short-term strategies should focus on buying low and selling high within the range; for medium to long-term positions, it is recommended to accumulate in batches near the support zone, paying attention to whether the trading volume increases simultaneously to confirm the trend's continuity. Currently, the battle between bulls and bears continues, and its outcome will determine the trend of one of the most volatile markets in 2025.
The market is always the market; the harsh reality will not change because of your losses, nor will it cease due to your tears and complaints. To change your fate, you must continuously learn investment skills and improve your own strength. This will accelerate your escape from the sea of suffering. This article is exclusively contributed by "Coin Whale," and please indicate the source when reprinting. There may be delays in online publication, and market conditions can change rapidly. For more real-time market updates, if you are trading contracts for Bitcoin or Ethereum and feel lost in your investment journey, you can follow the teacher and communicate with them in real-time. Before entering the market, you should thoroughly understand all related investment risks, and the risks are borne by yourself.
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