Hello everyone, today is November 17, 2025. The weekly K-line has been fully presented, and I will provide a deep analysis based on multiple time frame technical patterns.
Looking back at yesterday's 4-hour strategy, we accurately predicted that BTC would encounter resistance and fall back at the 95700 level (the resonance pressure point of the Bollinger Band middle line). The market declined as expected, reaching a low of 92960, with sufficient bearish momentum released; ETH was also suppressed by the Bollinger Band middle line, continuously dropping from a high of 3220 to 3001, with a cumulative decline of over 200 points, exceeding our expectations for strategy fulfillment.
- Core Technical Analysis at the Weekly Level
Bitcoin (BTC)
The weekly K-line shows a short upper and lower shadow entity bearish candle, with a clear bearish dominance pattern. The current price is around the 95000 mark. From the support system perspective, the key strong support is located in the 91000 area, and there are no clear bottoming signals in the short term. The bearish arrangement structure at the weekly level has not been broken, and it is expected to continue the downward probing rhythm this week, with the core target pointing to around 91000.
Ethereum (ETH)
The weekly performance is weaker than expected, with no effective rebound momentum. The K-line pattern is slightly more resilient than BTC, but it is still in a downward channel, continuously declining from a high of 3600 to the 3300 range this week. In terms of technical indicators, the MACD indicator maintains an expanding bearish momentum bar, and the fast and slow lines have not formed a golden cross resonance, indicating a strong continuation of the bearish trend; the Williams indicator (WR) has not yet entered the oversold zone (below -80), suggesting that the downward space has not been fully released, and the adjustment pressure at the weekly level continues.
- Technical Detail Breakdown of Short Cycles (4H/2H/1H)
Bitcoin (BTC)
4-hour level: The core pressure point above is concentrated in the 95700 area (coinciding with the Bollinger Band middle line), with the next pressure point at 97500; the support below first looks at the previous low of 92490, with strong support corresponding to the key level of 91000 at the weekly level. The Bollinger Band shows a downward opening pattern, and the bearish arrangement structure is solid.
2-hour level: The price continues to be suppressed by the Bollinger Band middle line, failing to form an effective breakthrough, with insufficient short-term rebound momentum. Caution is needed for the risk of a secondary pullback near the resistance level.
1-hour level: Although there was a brief breakthrough of the Bollinger Band middle line, showing a weak rebound trend, there is a previous doji star resistance level near 96800, and the price is oscillating around the 95000 mark, with limited rebound strength, making it difficult to change the mid-term bearish pattern.
Ethereum (ETH)
The 4-hour level shows a clear breakout pattern, with the key support level of 3100 effectively broken, and the price reaching a low of 3000. The downward trend is clear. The Bollinger Band is opening downward, and the price is running near the lower band, with short-term rebound resistance concentrated in the 3130-3160 range (Bollinger Band middle line area). The MACD bearish momentum has not diminished, and there are no stop-loss signals in the short term.
- Practical Trading Strategy Suggestions
Bitcoin (BTC)
• Entry Strategy: Enter a short position at market price 95178; if it rebounds to the 95700-95800 range (Bollinger Band middle line + previous pressure resonance level), you can add to the position to strengthen the bearish stance.
• Target Range: In the short term, look for a downward space of 1000-1500 points, with the first take-profit level at 93678 (95178-1500), the second take-profit level at 93178 (95178-2000), and the ultimate target anchored at the strong support area of 91000.
• Risk Control Reminder: If the price breaks above 95800 and stabilizes above the Bollinger Band middle line, timely stop-loss is required to avoid bearish traps.
Ethereum (ETH)
• Entry Strategy: Enter a short position at market price 3132, or wait for a rebound to the 3130-3160 range (Bollinger Band middle line pressure zone) to lay out a short position, aligning with the core logic of "rebound short."
• Target Range: For short-term take-profit, first look near 3103 (recent support turning into resistance), and for medium to long-term, it can extend to the 3050 area; if the 3000 integer level is broken, you can hold on to it, looking down to the strong support of 2500 at the weekly level.
• Risk Control Reminder: If the price breaks above 3180 and stabilizes, it is considered a short-term rebound signal, and decisive stop-loss is needed, with subsequent strategy adjustments based on market structure.
- Risk Warning
Currently, both BTC and ETH are in a clear bearish trend, with significant resistance level suppression. The overall tone is primarily bearish. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and technical signals may change rapidly with news. The above strategies are based on the current market analysis and need to be tracked in real-time for price breakthroughs/breakdowns. If there are unexpected fluctuations or deviations from the above analysis, feel free to message for real-time response plans, and we will continue to update strategy adjustment directions.
Tomorrow, I will combine the latest K-line patterns and indicator changes to provide a more accurate market analysis, so please stay tuned!
November 17 Layout
Bearish on Bitcoin, take profit at 95300-96000, stop loss at 94500-94000-93500
Bearish on Ethereum, 3130-3160, take profit at 3100-3050-3000
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
