Market Review
Bitcoin: The bearish strategy from yesterday was accurately realized, with the long-term target of 98,000 tested twice. The highest point reached yesterday was 97,000, which aligns with expectations.
Ethereum: The high position short position gained 100 points yesterday, and after breaking through 3,200, the downward momentum is strong, currently testing a key support level.
Technical Indicator Interpretation
(1) Bitcoin
Daily: Closed with a bearish candle, confirming a short-term downtrend.
Four-hour: Tested the 98,000 level twice, the Williams indicator is oversold, and the MACD bearish momentum is weakening, indicating insufficient downward momentum.
One-hour: MACD bearish momentum is diminishing, a death cross is about to form; the middle band of the Bollinger Bands is at 100,000, consistent with the four-hour target.
(2) Ethereum
Four-hour: Support level at 3,100, the Williams indicator is oversold, and the MACD bearish momentum has not yet significantly decreased, but the historical support level has a high probability of rebounding.
One-hour: Tested the bottom at 3,153, MACD bearish momentum is entering its final stage, a golden cross is about to form; the Williams indicator is oversold, and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands is at 3,328.
Operation Suggestions
(1) Bitcoin
Direction: Mainly long at low levels
Entry Point: Around 98,000-99,000
Take Profit Point: 100,000 (expected to gain 800-1,000 points)
Logic: Double bottom support + oversold indicators + momentum shift, consistent with the pattern of recovery after a unilateral market.
(2) Ethereum
Direction: Mainly long at low levels
Entry Point: Around 3,100-3,153 (if the 3,100 support holds)
Take Profit Point: 3,300 (expected to gain 80-100 points)
Logic: Key support level + one-hour golden cross signal + clear target at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with a high probability of success.
Summary
Since the beginning of this month, the strategy accuracy rate is 100%. The current market is in a recovery phase after a unilateral decline, and it is recommended to seize low long opportunities and strictly implement the take profit strategy. Future market changes will be continuously monitored, and the latest analysis will be updated on Saturday morning.
Five, Layout Sharing
Bitcoin, direction long, 99,500-98,500, take profit at 100,000-100,500-101,000
Ethereum, direction long, 3,200-3,230, take profit at 3,250-3,300-3,350
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