1. Core Interpretation of Multi-Period Trends
Today's Bitcoin trend shows differentiated characteristics across multiple periods. The daily level has already shown clear signs of a trend reversal: the MACD indicator's bearish momentum continues to diminish, and the fast and slow lines are about to form a golden cross, indicating that the long-term downtrend may be nearing its end, with upward momentum gradually accumulating. However, the short-term trend continues to follow the previous adjustment rhythm. The 4-hour line, which began its downward trend from the 107400 point yesterday, has slowed down, but the MACD bearish momentum is still in operation, and no clear stop-loss signal has appeared yet. The 2-hour line shows a corrective adjustment after a period of oscillating upward, which overall aligns with the recent upward oscillation framework, and is currently in a correction phase.
2. Real Trading Strategy Planning
Short-term Short Position Layout: Based on the 2-hour line's corrective trend, a short position can currently be established near the 103400 level of Bitcoin, with the previous 2-hour line's doji position at 102000 as the take-profit point. This position is at the lower edge of the recent oscillation range and has strong support. If this point is reached, the short position can be closed for profit.
Medium to Long-term Trend Outlook: The 101500 level can be regarded as a key observation point for long positions. If it effectively breaks down, it may open up further downward space. From a medium to long-term holding perspective, the area around 101500 is the next important target for Bitcoin, and investors can patiently wait for layout opportunities near this level.
Operational Logic Support: Currently, Bitcoin has accumulated a decline of over 4000 points from the high position of 1070 on the 12-hour line. The bearish trend still has inertia. Although there are signs of a rebound on the daily line, the short-term period has not completed its adjustment. Therefore, the operation should still focus on short positions in line with the trend, while being cautious of potential rebound corrections that may occur after the daily golden cross forms.
3. Layout Sharing for November 12
Bitcoin: Market price 103000-103500 for short, 102500-102000-101500,
Ethereum 3420-3450 short 3400-3350
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