What projects are favored in the prediction market? | Q&A

CN
6 hours ago

- Is there any relationship between the ZK mentioned in "Ethereum's ZK Scaling Becomes a Reality" and the already issued ZK tokens?

The two use similar technologies but are not directly related. The project that issued tokens is the second-layer scaling solution zkSync on Ethereum. The technology mentioned in the article is from another team, @brevis_zk.

In the crypto ecosystem, many teams are exploring the application and promotion of ZK technology, not just those based on ZK technology for second-layer scaling.

As for whether this will benefit ZK tokens, I think it's still too early to tell from a long-term perspective. Ultimately, whether it will be beneficial depends on how the zkSync ecosystem develops.

Moreover, there are already more than just zkSync utilizing ZK technology to build second-layer scaling solutions. Even if ZK technology itself is promising, the future will depend on which specific ZK second-layer scaling solution can develop well.

So it's still too early to make a judgment.

- How about the ETHS project in terms of scaling? The public chain is almost complete.

From what I understand, ETHS is an inscription project on the Ethereum ecosystem from a few years ago. I'm not sure if the project the reader is referring to is this ETHS?

If it is, I haven't followed it for a long time. From what I know, the development of this inscription project has been quite average. Since its inception, it has been at least over a year, and it seems there hasn't been a particularly outstanding ecosystem on it.

- Which projects in the prediction market are promising?

Currently, I only see potential in Polymarket.

Although some capital has started pouring money into various clones, I think the innovations of those clones are quite mediocre. This situation gives me the impression that capital is too eager, and there are too few new tracks in the ecosystem, so when a slightly promising and potential track emerges, capital rushes in, leading to fierce competition and a lot of casualties.

- From the perspective of payments, is current crypto payment insufficient?

This is a comment following "Understanding the X402 Protocol."

I resonate with this question and the reader.

If we break down the possible payment scenarios in future society, I think there are probably three types:

Payments between humans;

Payments between humans and AI Agents;

Payments between AI Agents and AI Agents.

Among these three payment scenarios, I believe that in the future, payments between AI Agents and AI Agents are likely to be the main focus or even the mainstream, while the other two categories will not account for a high proportion.

In these three payment scenarios, if it is purely payments between AI Agents, I think the current blockchain-based crypto payments are sufficient, and there is no need to additionally use HTTP's X402.

Therefore, X402 is more about solving the payment issues using crypto assets between humans and AI Agents, as well as between humans.

- The big A has broken through 4000 points. Will crypto friends see a nice increase from November to December? I heard NFTs are rising again, and there's a new 402 innovation, plus the interest rate cut cycle. I hope for good performance after November.

I have always believed that many people overestimate the impact of the interest rate cut cycle on crypto assets. I'm not saying it's unimportant, but it doesn't seem as significant as imagined. These are external factors, and external factors can only provide temporary stimulation; whether it can lead to a bull market ultimately depends on internal dynamics.

Not to mention crypto assets, even with U.S. stocks, if the earnings of those seven major companies do not keep up during the upcoming interest rate cut cycle, I am not optimistic about their future trends.

As for the current 402 innovation, I think it's still too early to judge its direction; we need to continue observing to see if it can truly foster applications and generate genuinely valuable services.

This also reminds me of many so-called "experts" in the industry predicting the performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum by the end of this year. I am genuinely curious about what basis they have to shout such exaggerated prices.

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