When global markets seek refuge due to geopolitical turmoil and inflationary pressures, gold, as a traditional "safe-haven asset," should naturally be in high demand. However, in October 2025, the global market witnessed a stunning "gold collapse": gold prices plummeted 6.3% in a single day, marking the largest single-day drop since 2013. Meanwhile, the dollar index surged, while Bitcoin rose 4% against the trend. This was not a coincidence, but a complete rewriting of market risk-hedging logic, as a capital rotation from "gold bars" to "code" quietly unfolded. We may have discovered the secret of capital rotation: Wall Street is "moving," and Web3 is reshaping the global risk-hedging landscape.
- The "Disaster Day" for Gold: The Harsh Reality of the Safe-Haven Paradox
In October, the global market experienced a stunning "gold collapse." In one day, gold prices plummeted 6.3%, marking the largest single-day drop since 2013.
Disrupting Common Sense: Gold, shouldn't it rise more during turmoil? Instead, it became the center of the storm. For many, this was a day that overturned common sense.
Deadly Mechanism: The underlying reason is a deadly financial mechanism—margin calls. When both stocks and bonds are hit hard and leveraged funds are liquidated, institutions will prioritize selling the most liquid assets—gold. Thus, gold, originally meant for hedging, became the "scapegoat" that was sold off.
"Safe-Haven Paradox": This is the so-called "Safe-Haven Paradox": when everyone wants to escape to a safe haven, the safe haven is the first to be flooded. On that day, $2 billion flowed out of gold ETFs, the dollar index surged 1.5%, while Bitcoin rose 4% against the trend.
- The Collapse of the Risk-Hedging Landscape: Scarce Code Replaces Scarce Metal
The plunge in gold and the rise of Bitcoin were not coincidental, but a complete rewriting of market risk-hedging logic.
The Rise of Scarce Code: "Scarce code" is replacing "scarce metal." For decades, gold was the only "credit risk-free asset." But now, Bitcoin, decentralized networks, and AI-driven financial systems are becoming the "digital safe havens" of the new era.
Capital Rotation: According to the latest analysis of historical data and charts, a capital rotation relationship between gold and Bitcoin has formed. Until mid-2024, Bitcoin and gold fluctuated almost in sync, both rising as safe-haven assets under global inflation and geopolitical risks. However, starting in June 2024, everything changed: gold up → Bitcoin down; gold down → Bitcoin up. The correlation broke, and the risk-hedging logic was overturned. The market began to rotate, with capital flowing out of gold and into Bitcoin—this "digital gold."
- Gold's "Nine-Week Curse" and the Timing of Capital Rotation
In the past 50 years of gold data, we have discovered a pattern: whenever gold rises for nine consecutive weeks, there is almost always a 1-2 month correction or consolidation period that follows. Historically, gold has never risen for more than nine consecutive weeks. And now—it has just hit this "ceiling line."
Market Frenzy Cooling: This means that the market's frenzy is about to cool, and profit-taking funds are looking for new landing spots.
Capital Rotation: We tracked key rotation time points from 2023 to 2025:
March 12: Bitcoin began to correct, and gold subsequently surged +18%.
September 7: Bitcoin rebounded +98% from the bottom, while gold entered a correction.
December 16: Bitcoin reached a local high, and gold surged again +21%.
"Seesaw Effect": This is not a coincidence, but a "seesaw effect" of capital flow. When gold rises more than 20%, institutional funds often escape from the gold market to take profits and reallocate to more growth-oriented assets—especially Bitcoin. The past "hedging" was buying gold; the future "hedging" is buying computing power and Bitcoin.
- Overbought Signals and Bitcoin's Starting Point: The Liquidity Absorption Pool
From a technical perspective, gold is currently in a severely overbought range. Whenever the monthly RSI indicator reaches this height, gold has historically experienced sharp corrections.
Gold's Weakness: This means that the frenzy in the gold market is retreating, and liquidity is preparing to shift.
Bitcoin's Emergence: Bitcoin is quietly becoming the new "liquidity absorption pool." When gold prices peak, funds are already positioning in Bitcoin.
Wavers Model Prediction: Bitcoin is set to enter a critical correction zone, with prices likely to fall below the $100,000 mark, finding support around $94,000, and is likely to initiate a new upward trend. According to the capital flow model, once Bitcoin completes the rotation relay, it is expected to see a 100% increase, targeting a range of $156,000.
- The Real Revolution: Not in Coin Prices, but in the System
Gold will not disappear; it is just temporarily stepping back. The real story is unfolding on the other end.
Change in Underlying Logic: BlackRock's $100 billion is not betting on the rise of Bitcoin prices, but paving the way for a future debt system reset. They are changing the "collateral"—shifting trust from "government credit" to "mathematically proven scarcity." So, this is not "Bitcoin is coming," but the entire financial world is "changing its underlying logic." The world has changed; most people just haven't realized it yet.
Scarcity: The number of Bitcoins is written into the code, with a total of only 21 million coins. There will be no more printed, and it will not depreciate. This is precisely why it is called "digital gold."
Asset Migration: This is not a speculation but an "asset migration." Bitcoin is no longer just a game in the crypto circle—it is becoming the underlying "hard currency" of Wall Street.
Conclusion:
When gold rises to its limit and market frenzy boils over, an invisible force is shifting from gold bars to code. This seemingly "rewritten risk-hedging logic" storm actually reveals a deeper secret: who is creating liquidity? Who is redistributing it? And the answer lies in the backroom of Wall Street.
Related Reading: "Binance Life," "Solara" becomes popular in the crypto circle! Chinese culture sparks a Web3 speculation boom?
Original: “Wall Street's Rotation Secret Exposed: Safe-Haven Assets Shift Massively from Gold Bars to Bitcoin”
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