Midweek strength followed a rate cut lift before momentum cooled, leaving a tidy ledger of wicks around $3.07–$3.13 and a lower high below the $3.20 pocket.
That sequence preserved the broader range, with $2.77–$2.90 per XRP acting as the floor and $3.05–$3.30 as the ceiling, where rallies keep stalling. Buyers had their best shot on the spike, but volume faded into the weekend and the close drifted back to the midpoint.
XRP/USD Bitfinex 1-day chart on Sept. 23, 2025.
Under the hood, repeated rejections near a trendline band around $3.02–$3.10 per XRP line up with a hesitant momentum profile, while on-balance accumulation looks constructive enough to keep dip-buyers alert. Translation: it’s not a trend day; it’s a level-by-level grind where confirmation matters more than hope. A decisive close above $3.10 with strong volume is the first real green light, and $3.20–$3.30 is the follow-through test.
On the flip side, the defense is clear. Lose $2.80 on rising volume and the trapdoor opens toward $2.65–$2.60, with a worst-case retest scenario down at $2.35–$2.40 if risk appetite sours. The base case remains choppy: a range that frustrates late longs and punishes impatient shorts. Until expansion returns, respect the bands and keep stops honest.
XRP/USD Bitfinex 4-hour chart on Sept. 23, 2025.
Short-term market scenarios break down like this: bullish if price clears $3.10–$3.15 and holds, targeting $3.30–$3.50; base case is a sideways coil between $2.80 and $3.10; bearish if $2.75–$2.80 gives way, with a slide toward $2.50–$2.60 and, if forced, the $2.30s. Probability-weighted, that skews modestly toward rangebound conditions until a catalyst kicks the door in.
What to watch ahead: the $3.10 breakout line, the $2.80 floor, and whether volume finally shows up to settle the argument. If strength arrives, $3.30–$3.50 is the natural magnet; if not, expect more ping-pong inside the band. Either way, the XRP playbook is straightforward—trade the levels, not the noise.
Bottom line: XRP’s weekly script is all about confirmation. Hold the floor, press through $3.10 with conviction, and the path opens. Fumble $2.80, and sellers get the steering wheel back for a deeper clearance sale. Until the market chooses, respect the range and keep powder dry for the break.
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