Tracking real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency market and seizing the best trading opportunities, today is Wednesday, September 17, 2025, I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends! ☀️ Die-hard fans check in 👍 Like to make big money 🍗🍗🌹🌹
I. Macroeconomic Market Dynamics
U.S. stocks closed on Tuesday with the three major indices showing a steady trend ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Dow Jones Industrial Average initially fell by 0.27%, the S&P 500 index dropped by 0.13%, and the Nasdaq fell by 0.07%. Oracle opened high but closed lower, rising by 1.4%, while Tesla (TSLA.O) increased by 2.8%, and Nvidia (NVDA.O) fell by 1.6%.
Currently, the market is highly focused on the upcoming interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve. With a rate cut already a foregone conclusion, the real concern for the market is: Will Powell strengthen the signal of a policy shift? Where exactly is the neutral interest rate? This meeting may define the future independence and policy trajectory of the Federal Reserve. Will Powell and his colleagues predict a total of three rate cuts this year, or will they stick to the slightly more optimistic expectation of two cuts from June when the labor market was stronger?
From the perspective of the relationship between cryptocurrency and the macroeconomy, if the Federal Reserve resumes rate cuts on Wednesday and signals further easing policies in the future, cryptocurrency prices may see an upward opportunity. According to IG analyst Chris Beauchamp in a report: "If the Federal Open Market Committee suggests that this week's meeting is just the beginning of more rate cuts, then crypto assets should continue to be one of the main beneficiaries." Data from the London Stock Exchange Group shows that the money market has fully digested the expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut on Wednesday. Additionally, about 81% of IG clients hold a bullish position on Bitcoin, expecting its price to rise; 83% of clients hold a bullish position on Ethereum.
II. Bitcoin Market Analysis
Bitcoin opened low and rose high last night with the opening of U.S. stocks, first slightly retracing to around 114,600 before continuing to rise. During the early morning hours, Bitcoin's price reached a high of 116,910.
Currently, the trend has changed. The daily chart shows a small bullish candle, slowly rising, while the hourly chart exhibits a fluctuating pattern. Each rise is accompanied by a certain pullback, but the highs are gradually moving up, indicating that the bullish momentum has not yet ended. Observing the 4-hour chart, the key support is in the range of 115,800—116,200. As long as this range is not broken, the overall bullish structure remains solid. It is expected that after confirming support on a pullback, the price may once again gain momentum to challenge the resistance levels around 117,500—118,200.
III. Ethereum Market Analysis
Ethereum experienced a downward spike last night but has now warmed back up to near the starting point, trading around 4,500. The technical structure shows a rebound trend with consecutive bullish candles. Although there is pressure above in the short term, this does not hinder the bulls from launching a counterattack, and the overall upward trend remains intact.
From the hourly structure, the support below is focused on the range of 4,470—4,490. Once stabilized, the probability of continuation for the bulls is high; the resistance above is in the range of 4,570—4,620. If it breaks through and holds, it is expected to open up greater upward space.
In the current complex and ever-changing cryptocurrency market, all crypto friends need to closely monitor macroeconomic dynamics and the trend changes of major cryptocurrencies, timely adjusting investment strategies to respond to market changes and seek investment opportunities.
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