【Price Trend Analysis】

1. K-line Pattern:

• The daily level shows that the recent price has formed a clear high point around 112,000 before retreating, presenting a trend of rising and then falling.

• The 4-hour K-line has a long upper shadow (e.g., September 9, 20:00), indicating heavy selling pressure above, while the low support is gradually rising.

1. Technical Indicators:

   • MACD: In the 4-hour cycle, both DIF and DEA are below the zero axis, but the gap is narrowing, and the green bar momentum is weakening, indicating short-term rebound signs; the daily level is still in a death cross state, with bears in control.

   • RSI: The 4-hour cycle is close to the 50 level, showing a temporary balance of bullish and bearish forces; the daily level has fallen from the overbought zone to the neutral area, with a weak trend.

   • EMA: The current price is hovering between EMA7 and EMA30, with EMA120 providing strong support around 111,875. If it breaks through EMA7 (111,618), it may further test the upper pressure.

2. Trading Volume:

• The daily trading volume expanded on September 8 and then gradually shrank, indicating insufficient upward momentum.

• In the 4-hour cycle, the trading volume significantly increased after the sharp drop (e.g., September 9, 20:00), but the subsequent rebound volume did not sustain, showing strong market hesitation.

Based on the trading strategy framework you provided, here are the optimizations and professional interpretations of the buy and sell points:

Long Position Trading Strategy

1. Buy Point One: 111,000 USDT

   • Technical Basis:

     • The previous low support coincides with the EMA120 moving average, forming a double support effect;

     • The psychological support at the round number is strong, having rebounded multiple times historically;

     • Confirmation of buying interest is needed with increased trading volume (to avoid false breakouts).

2. Buy Point Two: 110,000 USDT

   • Technical Basis:

     • Deep round number support, with a high probability of bearish exhaustion;

     • If the price drops to this level and RSI (Relative Strength Index) is below 30, the likelihood of a rebound from oversold conditions is high.

3. Stop Loss Point: 109,500 USDT

   • Risk Control Logic:

     • A quick drop to 109,500 after breaking 110,000 indicates a failure of support;

     • Control the stop loss space within 1%-2% of total capital to avoid excessive single losses.

Short Position Trading Strategy

1. Sell Point One: 112,500 USDT

   • Technical Basis:

     • The recent high point pressure coincides with the EMA7/EMA30 death cross area;

     • K-line patterns (such as long upper shadows, bearish engulfing) need to be observed to confirm selling pressure.

2. Sell Point Two: 113,500 USDT

   • Technical Basis:

     • Resistance at the top of the previous high segment, with selling pressure from trapped positions;

     • If the price reaches this level and trading volume shrinks, the probability of a reversal is high.

3. Stop Loss Point: 114,000 USDT

   • Risk Control Logic:

     • A breakthrough above 113,500 may initiate a new upward trend;

     • Set the stop loss above the previous high to avoid triggering stop loss on false breakouts.

Comprehensive Suggestions

• Position Management:
  It is recommended to build positions in batches (e.g., 30% for the first entry, 50% for additional purchases), reserving funds to cope with extreme volatility.

• Indicator Verification:
  Combine MACD divergence and trading volume confirmation signals to validate effectiveness, avoiding reliance solely on price levels.

• Market Environment:
  If the overall trend is a downward fluctuation, be cautious with long positions; if in a pullback phase of an upward channel, the success rate of long positions is higher.

Risk Warning: Digital assets are highly volatile, and the above strategies need to be adjusted according to real-time market dynamics. It is recommended to use risk control tools (such as isolated margin) in conjunction.

Wishing you successful trading!

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