More? Short? Neither, just follow the trend you judge!

Set the pattern, set the point, set the plan, a trinity!

The flock is usually chaotic, but once a sheep breaks out and runs wildly, the other sheep will follow, even if they don't know what the running is for. The recent market is still testing human nature; greed, anger, and ignorance are one side of human nature, while the aversion and fear of uncertainty are another side. Everyone is paying for their own judgments and habits.

Set the pattern:

Yesterday's non-farm data brought about a short-term market washout of around $3,000. Today is Saturday, and the Bitcoin market is fluctuating around $110,000. Following the strategy from the last blog post, both long and short positions in Bitcoin can yield good results. The short position at $4,490 for Ethereum has also provided several opportunities for decent short-term pullbacks; it depends on how many you can catch. The monthly chart of the big trend still maintains the previous viewpoint, and the monthly candlestick with upper and lower wicks is probable, so this month should be approached with caution. The weekly chart is the same; continue to pay attention to the MA7 and MA30 above, while the middle track below is an important short-term defense line. After the daily candlestick broke the middle track, it closed with a pin bar. Over the weekend, use the resistance near the middle track as a reference for entry. If a small probability breakout occurs, then look at the resistance near MA30, while the lower boundary continues to be defined by the previous low.

Although the daily chart of Ethereum has been fluctuating after the range, it is relatively weak. The middle track and MA7 above have not stabilized completely, and today the candlestick is running below them, so in the short term, use the middle track as a reference, with the lower boundary referencing the lower edge of the range. Once it breaks, it will continue to test downward.

Set the point:

For Bitcoin, short-term resistance is below $112,500, and support is above $108,000. For Ethereum, short-term resistance is below $4,480, and support is around $4,200. If it breaks, then focus on above $4,000.

Set the plan:

Bitcoin: Short at $111,800-$112,200, targeting $110,000. Long at $109,000-$108,000, targeting $112,000.

Ethereum: Short at $4,400-$4,430, targeting $4,300. Long at $4,230-$4,190, targeting $4,380; if it breaks, long at $4,080-$4,050, targeting $4,300.

What can relieve worries? Only getting rich! No snowflake in an avalanche is innocent. Don't lose yourself in madness; protect your bullets, keep yourself in the game, and have chips ready for a counterattack.

If you like it, please like and share. Wishing everyone to do better and better! May you have a bright future in the crypto world!!!

2025/9/6

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