【Price Trend Analysis】

1. K-Line Pattern:

   • The daily level shows that recent prices are oscillating at a high level. After a long lower shadow on September 2, there was a rebound, but overall it is still in a downward trend.

   • In the 4-hour cycle, a small "head and shoulders" structure has recently formed, with the current price close to the neckline (around 110,500).

2. Technical Indicators:

   • MACD:

     • The daily level DIF and DEA are both running below the zero axis, with green bars shortening but lacking momentum, indicating a bearish dominance.

     • In the 4-hour level, DIF and DEA are gradually converging, showing signs of a golden cross, but it has not yet been confirmed.

   • RSI:

     • The daily RSI is around 50, indicating a neutral market sentiment with no obvious overbought or oversold signals.

     • The 4-hour RSI hovers around 50, with an unclear short-term direction.

   • EMA:

     • EMA7, EMA30, and EMA120 are in a bearish arrangement at the daily level, with EMA7 exerting strong pressure.

     • The 4-hour EMA7 slightly crosses above EMA30, but overall it is still under pressure from EMA120, indicating a weak trend.

3. Trading Volume:

   • The daily trading volume has gradually shrunk since the increase on September 2, indicating that both bulls and bears are in a wait-and-see mood.

   • The 4-hour trading volume fluctuations have weakened, with recent K-line volumes being sluggish and lacking breakthrough momentum.

【Trading Plan Summary】

• Trading Target: Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)

• Core Idea: Gradually build long positions in key support areas and take profits or attempt light short positions in key resistance areas. Buy low and sell high in a volatile market, and stop-loss if key levels are broken.

• Current Market Assessment: Your point settings indicate that the market is in a range-bound oscillation pattern, and the strategy is suitable for a consolidation phase without a clear upward or downward trend.

【Trading Strategy Execution Details】

1. Long Strategy (Buy on Dips)

• 📍 Long Entry Point 1: 109,500 USDT

  • Reason: Utilize the previous swing low and the psychological support effect of the round number for the first entry.

  • Action: Invest 40% of the planned long funds.

• 📍 Long Entry Point 2: 108,000 USDT

  • Reason: This position has both a long lower shadow (indicating strong buying interest) and long-term trend line (EMA120) support, making it a more favorable entry point.

  • Action: Invest 60% of the planned long funds, gradually building to average down costs.

• 🛑 Long Stop-Loss Point: 107,500 USDT

  • Reason: Placed below all key supports. If it breaks, it indicates that the support logic has failed, and the trend may turn bearish, necessitating a firm stop-loss.

• 🎯 Long Target Levels:

  • Target 1: 112,000 USDT (Reduce position or close half to lock in profits)

  • Target 2: 113,500 USDT (Close all remaining long positions)

2. Short Strategy/Long Take-Profit Strategy (Sell on Rallies)

• 📍 Short Entry Point / Long Take-Profit Point 1: 112,000 USDT

  • Reason: Previous high point and round number pressure, technical selling pressure usually appears at this level, making it the primary take-profit point for longs.

• 📍 Short Entry Point / Long Take-Profit Point 2: 113,500 USDT

  • Reason: The top of the previous oscillation range, a stronger resistance level with more pressure.

• 🛑 Short Stop-Loss Point: 114,000 USDT

  • Reason: Placed above the strong resistance area. If the price strongly breaks this level, it indicates that upward space has opened, and shorts must stop-loss immediately.

• 🎯 Short Target Levels: 111,000 - 110,000 USDT (Close positions near support areas)

【Risk Control and Position Management】

1. Total Position Control: It is recommended that the total risk capital for this single trade does not exceed 5% of your total margin.

2. Gradual Operations: Strictly follow the planned proportions for gradual entry and take-profit, avoiding heavy positions in one go.

3. Dynamic Adjustments: Closely monitor the price performance at support and resistance levels. If the price quickly rebounds at 109,500 with increased volume, it can be seen as a positive signal; if the rebound is weak, be cautious of the risk of falling towards 108,000.

4. Divergence Risk: Always pay attention to whether trading volume can accompany price movements. If volume shrinks while rising to target levels (volume-price divergence), it is a stronger take-profit signal.

Please remember: The market is ever-changing, and the above suggestions are merely a strategy outline based on price levels and do not constitute any investment advice. Please make your final decisions based on real-time market conditions and ensure proper risk control.

Wishing you successful trading!

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