The U.S. crypto ETF receives regulatory "green light": General listing standards may be established within 60 days, which projects will emerge as winners?

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Author: Nancy, PANews

The U.S. crypto ETF has received a regulatory "green light," and the market may see a new wave of listing enthusiasm. On one hand, the U.S. SEC has officially allowed the physical subscription and redemption mechanism for crypto ETFs, significantly enhancing trading efficiency and market liquidity; on the other hand, general crypto ETP listing standards are on the horizon, which will open a fast track for crypto assets to enter the ETF market.

SEC Officially Approves Physical Subscription and Redemption for Crypto ETPs

Crypto regulation is reaching an important turning point. On July 30, the SEC cast a significant vote, allowing authorized participants to conduct physical subscriptions and redemptions for crypto ETPs.

Both crypto ETPs and ETFs are financial instruments that list crypto assets (such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, etc.) in a securitized form on traditional stock exchanges, aiming to provide investors with a convenient and compliant investment channel for crypto assets. Both allow investors to trade like stocks without directly interacting with crypto wallets or managing private keys, offering high liquidity and transparency, and must be approved by the financial regulatory authorities of their respective countries or regions. However, there are significant differences in structure and regulation between the two. Crypto ETFs belong to a fund structure, typically being physically-backed products with stricter information disclosure requirements and higher asset security, making them harder to approve in strictly regulated markets (like the U.S.); crypto ETPs, on the other hand, are a broader concept and do not necessarily have to be funds, which may carry issuer credit risk but are easier to launch and more flexible in markets like Europe.

U.S. Crypto ETF Receives Regulatory "Green Light": General Listing Standards May Be Established Within 60 Days, Which Projects Will Be Winners?

As is well known, the Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs use a cash subscription and redemption mechanism. In this model, authorized participants must first deliver cash to the ETF issuer, which then purchases an equivalent amount of Bitcoin or Ethereum in the spot market to support the newly issued ETF shares; the reverse operation occurs during redemption.

However, this indirect operation model leads to high trading costs, settlement delays, and significant market slippage risks, limiting the product's attractiveness and primary market liquidity.

With the opening of the physical subscription and redemption mechanism, authorized participants can now directly deliver Bitcoin or Ethereum to the ETF issuer to create or redeem ETF shares. The further integration of on-chain assets and traditional financial products not only enhances operational efficiency but also opens new channels for compliant liquidity of crypto assets, potentially attracting more ETF participants.

"This is the beginning of a new chapter in SEC regulation. As a key goal during my chairmanship, I am committed to establishing a regulatory framework for the crypto market that aligns with market realities. This approval will lower product costs, enhance operational efficiency, and ultimately benefit investors. It will further promote the construction of a rational and clear crypto regulatory system," said SEC Chairman Paul S. Atkins.

Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart believes that the physical subscription/redemption mechanism for Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs has been approved. It is expected that the soon-to-be-approved altcoin ETFs will likely allow physical subscriptions and redemptions from the start. This is another step in the right direction.

U.S. Crypto ETF Receives Regulatory "Green Light": General Listing Standards May Be Established Within 60 Days, Which Projects Will Be Winners?

Probability of Approval for 12 Altcoin ETFs

Additionally, the SEC has approved other proposals to promote the development of the crypto asset market, including the listing application for hybrid spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETPs, specific Bitcoin spot ETP options trading, flexible exchange (FLEX) options trading, and raising the position limit for specific Bitcoin ETP options to 250,000 contracts, enriching market tools and enhancing flexibility.

Opening Up Listing Channels, General Standards for Crypto ETPs May Be Launched Within 60 Days

In addition to the key step forward in the operational model of crypto ETPs, their listing channels have also seen significant optimization.

Recently, Cboe BZX submitted a milestone rule amendment proposal to the U.S. SEC. The core of this proposal is a systematic revision of Rule 14.11(e)(4) to establish general listing standards for Commodity-Based Trust Shares (CBTS).

As early as 2013, BZX established a listing system for CBTS based on Rule 14.11(e), but this rule was essentially designed for traditional commodity ETFs, primarily targeting trust structures supported by single commodities (such as gold or oil). As the market has evolved, such as the rise of crypto assets and the emergence of composite investment portfolios, the shortcomings of the original rule have gradually become apparent, including limited asset types, cumbersome approval processes, and low innovation efficiency.

The Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs are typical cases, having undergone years of modifications and negotiations before finally being approved. In fact, under the existing rules, each crypto ETF must submit a separate 19b-4 application document, with an approval cycle that can last up to 240 days. This model consumes regulatory resources and undermines market confidence.

The core logic of the new proposal is to institutionalize and standardize the "one coin, one review" ETF listing process, allowing any CBTS product that meets specific conditions to be listed directly.

This revision comprehensively upgrades the definition of CBTS, breaking through the original single commodity limitation. The new rules clarify that trust shares can be issued by trusts, limited liability companies, or other similar entities, significantly enhancing flexibility. The asset scope is also allowed to hold multiple commodities (such as gold, oil, Bitcoin, Ethereum, etc.), commodity-based assets (including futures, options, swaps, etc.), securities, cash, and cash equivalents (such as U.S. government bonds, certificates of deposit).

U.S. Crypto ETF Receives Regulatory "Green Light": General Listing Standards May Be Established Within 60 Days, Which Projects Will Be Winners?

At the same time, the proposal clarifies three paths for directly listing underlying assets: (1) ISG market trading: commodities traded on markets of members of the Intermarket Surveillance Group (ISG), allowing exchanges to access trading information and ensure regulatory visibility; (2) DCM (Coinbase Derivatives Exchange) trading for 6 months: futures contracts based on the commodity traded continuously for at least 6 months on CFTC-regulated designated contract markets (such as CME), with monitoring agreements; (3) ETF net asset value accounting for 40%: the commodity accounts for more than 40% of the net asset value (NAV) in a listed ETF, and that ETF is traded on a national securities exchange. These three paths effectively anchor the liquidity, compliance, and regulatory visibility of the assets, forming a unified and transparent "listing equals admission" mechanism, avoiding duplicate reviews and regulatory arbitrage.

Additionally, the proposal strengthens market transparency and investor protection requirements, stipulating that CBTS issuers must disclose the following core information daily for free on a public website, including daily holdings, net asset value (NAV) and market price, historical data, and trading volume, significantly enhancing the readability and verifiability of ETF products, helping investors reasonably assess the fair value and trading efficiency of ETFs.

It is worth mentioning that the proposal supports the crypto staking mechanism. According to Rule 14.11(e)(4)(G), if the proportion of redeemable assets in the ETF is less than 85%, a liquidity risk management policy and procedures must be established; if assets are staked, isolated, re-staked, restricted, or otherwise limited in liquidity, making T+1 redemption impossible, they are considered "not redeemable at any time"; if staked assets exceed 15% of total assets, a special liquidity management mechanism must be activated. This means that as long as the ETF can ensure sufficient liquidity or establish a robust staking risk control system, the staking mechanism can be legally introduced into the structure of crypto ETF products, providing more possibilities for product design and revenue models.

Currently, the proposal has not yet been formally implemented. According to Greg Xethalis, Chief Legal Counsel at Multicoin Capital, this regulation still needs to undergo public comment and review, with the comment period likely ending within 21 days after publication in the Federal Register, meaning the rule could be finalized in less than 60 days. Once approved, it will open an efficient and transparent listing channel for commodity-type ETPs, including crypto assets.

New Rules on the Horizon, Who Will Be the Biggest Winner?

The general listing standards for crypto ETPs are on the verge of being established, and Coinbase, CFTC, and altcoin ETFs may become the biggest beneficiaries.

As mentioned earlier, under the new regulatory framework, as long as a certain asset's futures have a compliant trading record of over 6 months on the Coinbase DCM contract market, it qualifies for general listing. This means Coinbase may become the "certification center" for altcoins to enter ETFs. Moreover, since the new proposal supports the staking mechanism, related institutions will also benefit, and Coinbase Custody is currently a recognized mainstream custodian and staking service provider in the U.S., also serving as the custodian for many Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs.

The proposal clearly states that the issuing entities of CBTS products are not registered as investment companies under the Investment Company Act of 1940 but must operate under the regulatory framework of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This means that which crypto assets can enter ETFs will be controlled by the CFTC regarding whether their futures can be listed, thereby indirectly affecting ETF entry qualifications. The regulatory trend is clear: the product path for crypto ETFs is determined by the SEC, while asset qualifications are pre-reviewed by the CFTC.

At the same time, the new rules will also promote the rapid approval and listing of more altcoin ETF products. According to Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas, based on the standards, cryptocurrencies with over 6 months of futures trading tracking records on the Coinbase Derivatives Exchange will be allowed to enter ETPs. Currently, there are about a dozen crypto assets that meet the criteria, aligning with the previously expected approval probability of over 85% for mainstream cryptocurrencies. Regarding the specific approval timeline, Balchunas indicated it could be in September or October of this year.

U.S. Crypto ETF Receives Regulatory "Green Light": General Listing Standards May Be Established Within 60 Days, Which Projects Will Be Winners?U.S. Crypto ETF Receives Regulatory "Green Light": General Listing Standards May Be Established Within 60 Days, Which Projects Will Be Winners?

Crypto Projects on Coinbase Derivatives Exchange for Over 6 Months

Greg Xethalis also stated that the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq are expected to follow suit soon. There are also pending ETP applications, including those for Solana and XRP. The SEC can choose to take action on these ETP 19b-4 applications before the October 10 deadline for Solana or the later deadline for XRP, or they may also be included in the new listing standards (GLS) process for approval. Both are expected to launch in the fourth quarter, including physical delivery and SOL staking returns.

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