Key Points Review:
In 2025, XRP experienced an average decline of 25% after a buy signal appeared on the Random Relative Strength Index (RSI).
If the descending triangle breaks down, the price of XRP may drop to $1.14, with some analysts predicting a further risk of falling to $0.60.
Bullish analysts expect the price to break through the range of $3.20 to $27.
When the Random Relative Strength Index for XRP (XRP) fell back from the overbought zone in 2025, it recorded an average price correction of 25%. Currently in July, a similar trend is unfolding, with a significant increase in the probability of a correction in the coming days or weeks.
The Random Relative Strength Index measures market momentum by comparing the asset's RSI with its recent range. On June 28, the indicator on the daily chart for XRP broke above 80, entering the overbought zone, and has remained there since.
Historical data shows that as this indicator falls back to the neutral range, XRP's price typically experiences a significant reversal. The decline in cryptocurrencies in 2025 usually ranges from 12% to 45%, averaging over 25%.
The current chart structure for XRP indicates that unless there is a clear breakout to invalidate this technical signal, the downside risk is greater.
After a strong rally, XRP has formed a descending triangle pattern, further intensifying bearish sentiment in the market. The downside target is approximately $1.14, representing a drop of about 50% from the current price level.
Analyst Xanrox warns of a potential deeper correction in the future, pointing to the multi-year ascending triangle that has defined XRP's price movements since 2017.
His core view is that the large Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed during XRP's vertical rise earlier this year is significant. Historically, such imbalances tend to be quickly filled after a substantial decline.
He anticipates that after XRP's recent surge to $3.40 in 2025, a similar trend will occur, targeting around $0.60 near the lower trend line of the triangle, which would be a retracement of about 70% from the current price.
However, not all analysts share a bearish outlook. Mikybull Crypto believes XRP will form a symmetrical triangle breakout, with a target price of $3.70 in September; XForceGlobal predicts a target range of $8 to $27 based on Fibonacci levels.
Other viewpoints also mention wedge breakouts and the continued accumulation of whale funds, with target prices close to $3.20.
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Original: “2025 XRP Downward Warning Signal Reappears, Average Decline of 25%”
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