As of June 25, 2025, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) shows a fluctuating upward trend, with the latest quote at $106,600, a 24-hour increase of about 0.8%. The intraday fluctuation range is between $104,800 and $106,790, maintaining an overall narrow range of $105,000 to $107,000. Here are the key analyses of today's Bitcoin market:
1. Market Performance and Price Trends
BTC: Slightly up by 0.8%, showing a mild recovery trend in the short term, but attention is still needed on the key resistance level of $106,500. If it breaks through, it may further test $108,000 to $110,000.
ETH, SOL, ADA: Ethereum (ETH) performs strongly, rising 2% to $2,470, while SOL and ADA increase by 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively.
3. Technical Analysis
- Short-term support level at $104,000 (near the 100-hour moving average); if it breaks, it may drop to $103,500* or $102,500.
- Key resistance level: $106,500; if broken, it may challenge $108,000 to $110,000.
On-chain data: Long-term holders (HODLers) continue to accumulate, but short-term holders (STHs) face increased selling pressure, necessitating caution against pullback risks.
4. Potential Risks and Market Sentiment
Volatility remains high: Despite the market warming up, geopolitical issues and changes in Federal Reserve policies may still trigger severe fluctuations.
- Short-term demand weakening: CryptoQuant data shows that the growth rate of spot demand is slowing, with ETF and large holder purchases down 50% from peak levels. If demand continues to weaken, it may pull back to the support range of $92,000 to $81,000.
- Derivatives market: Some traders are starting to short; if the price fails to break resistance, it may trigger a short-term pullback.
5. Investment Advice: Long Bitcoin at the current price of $106,900 with a target of $108,000 to $110,000.
6. Investment Advice: Long Ethereum at the current price of $2,420 with a target of $2,500 to $2,550.
Today, Bitcoin shows a mild rebound, supported by macro policies, geopolitical easing, and institutional funds, but weakened short-term demand may limit upside potential. Investors need to closely monitor Federal Reserve policies, ETF fund flows, and on-chain data to assess future trends.
There are many types of investments, and choosing the right one for yourself is important. There are many paths, and selecting the right guide is crucial. I am Gu Yue, interpreting world economic news, analyzing global investment trends, and providing daily market analysis to offer you the latest trading strategy ideas and professional investment consulting services to help you reach the peak of financial management.
This article represents personal views only and is for reference only, not to be used as a basis for actual operations. Market conditions are volatile, and profits and losses are self-responsible. For the latest trading strategies, follow the public account: Gu Yue KOL.
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