In the midst of strategizing, we can win from a thousand miles away. Hello everyone, I am Lin Chao, a global financial market observer, focusing on cryptocurrency market analysis, bringing you the most in-depth trading information analysis and technical teaching.
This morning, Lin Chao saw a post on social media: "I’m out now, and I will no longer please anyone."
Let me take you back to 2022, during the pandemic, when I was on a business trip in the United States, in Los Angeles. That day, I attended a dinner in the crypto circle, where someone came with a team and recommended ordi (Audi Coin) to us one by one. At that time, it hadn’t been airdropped yet, nor had it gone on-chain, and there wasn’t much useful information available on-chain. It was equivalent to a pre-IPO stock, priced at 2 cents each. Since I entered the crypto space early, I was aware of many coins that had previously collapsed, and I have always been very cautious about investing in the primary market. So, I asked a friend to help me evaluate this coin, and he only replied with three words: "Not reliable." But I still didn’t give up, so I asked another friend, who was working at Google as an Ethereum community reviewer and specialized in studying ERC20 chains, to help me evaluate ordi. He also dismissed the project. At that time, I thought, since everyone was pessimistic, I wouldn’t invest. However, another girl at the same table, the one who posted on social media today, for some reason, bought some.
Then, about a year later, ordi was launched. It went live on Binance at $8, then quickly rose to $12, and within less than a week, it reached $21, peaking at $96 in 2024. And I had the chance to buy it for just 2 cents. That’s at least a 10,000-fold increase; if I had invested $50,000, it would have been $500 million. The girl at the same table invested $20,000, and when she cashed out, it was $88 million. Then in 2023, when Bitcoin was around $30,000, she used all her funds to buy Bitcoin with the $88 million, acquiring about 3,000 coins, which today are worth around $300 million. Until today, she has completely cashed out all her Bitcoin. Then she posted on social media saying, "I’m out now, and I will no longer please anyone."
No longer pleasing anyone, from $20,000 to now $300 million.
Sometimes late at night, I think, even if I had invested $1,000 back then, it would have been faster than what I earned through hard trading. Making money comes from a combination of one’s own understanding, courage, and luck. You could say this girl was lucky, but I actually don’t think so, because that luck once came to me, but I didn’t seize it, perhaps due to insufficient understanding or lack of courage. Just like many users who add me, hoping to profit from trading in the market, or hoping to gain returns as the market grows, but they are also afraid—afraid of missing out, afraid of being scammed, afraid of losing. Later, I reflected on myself; the cost of being scammed is actually not high, but the cost of doubt is much higher. Getting scammed once can lead to growth; every time I get scammed or fail, I can quickly accumulate experience and grow rapidly. Yet many people spend their lives doubting everything, and in the end, they do nothing, watching those around them make money, turn their lives around, and disappear, while they remain stuck in place.
This is just a small episode, let’s not dwell on the past. Let’s return to our trading and talk about the opportunities I see in the second half of the year.
First is Trump Coin, which is about to undergo a massive unlocking, set to unlock 25% of the current circulating tokens on July 18. After that, Trump Coin will enter a super unlocking period, with tokens continuously being unlocked every day and every month, which will put significant pressure on the coin price. And everyone should understand that institutions are definitely aware of this information, so they won’t buy. If no one is bottom-fishing, the coin price will only go lower. Although Trump will definitely release various news to stimulate the market, if Trump Coin surges due to some favorable news, it will actually be a good opportunity for everyone to short; I will not hesitate to open low-leverage short positions.
On the spot market, we have SOL. Its spot ETF is expected to have results as early as July, but I speculate it will likely be released after September, and it will definitely be approved, with no surprises. When the news is announced, SOL will at least surge by 20%, and then continue to rise for a week as funds enter the market. So the recent pullback this quarter has given everyone a chance to build positions at lower prices. From the K-line perspective, SOL has very good support around 140; if contracts take a short-term rebound, there are also good opportunities. However, I would prefer to see SOL drop below 140, ideally around 120, leading to a big waterfall drop. As soon as it falls, I will add more; it just depends on whether the market gives us the opportunity. For specific layouts and position allocations, friends who don’t understand can also message me. Additionally, related coins to the SOL chain, such as Ray, JTO, and WIF, can also be allocated accordingly.
Moreover, Ethereum’s staking leader Eigen will go live on the mainnet at the end of June or July, which can barely be considered a positive. However, I am more concerned about the approval of Ethereum staking ETFs, which I estimate will be around the same time as Sol’s ETF approval, likely after September this year. Therefore, spot users should complete their positions before the end of August.
However, the unlocking of ETH’s staking function can only be considered a bonus, while the approval of SOL’s ETF is what everyone is looking forward to. So in July and August, I will pay more attention to the layout of SOL and its related ecosystem coins.
Recently, I have also looked at on-chain data; USDC has been burning wildly in the past few weeks, which means that on-chain institutions are converting stablecoins into US dollars or other fiat currencies. I believe this is a very clear signal of capital withdrawal, indicating that institutions are taking profits at this stage. Therefore, I have always emphasized that there is no eternal bull market, only eternal volatility. So everyone should keep their money safe during this quarter’s fluctuations and pullbacks.
We must always maintain sensitivity to information so that we can make the right decisions at the right time; riding the wind is the only opportunity for ordinary people. The biggest prison in the world is the consciousness of people; if you can’t earn money beyond your understanding, then learn to leverage.
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