Today, the market continues to revolve around geopolitical conflicts, with oil prices rising steadily. WTI crude is approaching $76, and Brent is nearing $79, indicating that there are no signs of easing in the Middle East situation. Although Powell believes the impact on inflation is short-term, investors remain cautious. Trump stated he would decide within two weeks whether to negotiate with Iran, forming a "last ultimatum" similar to the pressure applied to Russia last time. Meanwhile, Putin expressed a willingness to initiate peace talks after the airstrikes on Kyiv, complicating the situation further.
In the Bitcoin market, the U.S. stock market is closed, resulting in liquidity akin to the weekend. Trading is mainly concentrated on short-term speculative funds, with old users remaining unaffected and sentiment stable. Currently, the support in the $93,000–$98,000 range is solid, but over 1.2 million coins have been traded in the $104,000–$105,000 range. If this continues to accumulate to over a million coins at a single price, the market may face a critical point for directional breakout, with risks gradually increasing.
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