The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui talking about coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. Welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smoke bombs!
Just after discussing a deep correction, the market broke through and followed up with a 5,000-point correction depth. This wave of correction depth is not the trend that Lao Cui mentioned; it belongs to a normal high correction market. Everyone should not always focus on the correction. What Lao Cui is saying is just to remind everyone not to blindly chase after the rise with heavy positions; at any time, position control must be appropriate. Even if a deep correction occurs, it is merely a seasoning in this year's growth main theme. If you can avoid this wave of correction, you can boldly look bullish. Whether in contracts or spot trading, you must adopt a trend-following attitude. We reminded everyone of this at the beginning of the year, and Lao Cui has even mentioned that as long as you do not plan to use your funds in the short term, the correction at the beginning of the year can be ignored. Because overall, as we reach the second half of the year, everyone can profit, and taking the final goal as the standard is the way to go. From the market perspective, although the volatility in the past three days has not been too large, it is still moving in a repair phase. Currently, half of the decline has been repaired, and it is highly likely to continue growing. The short-term target for Bitcoin is still around 120,000. Those who are long in contracts can consider exiting after reaching a new high. Your profits, from Lao Cui's perspective, are already sufficient, so it’s better to secure them early. Today's article's main theme is still to talk about Ethereum.
Since the beginning of this year, Lao Cui has rarely mentioned Ethereum, and the same was true in the second half of last year. You can also feel that Lao Cui's interest in Ethereum is not as strong as before. Today, Lao Cui will explain the reasons. Coin friends who follow Lao Cui are well aware that since the Ethereum upgrade, the changes in rules have both advantages and disadvantages. Since the birth of ETH, it has created a great myth of contracts, which can be said to be a great innovation in the coin circle. Moreover, both in terms of technology and optimization, it is a level above Bitcoin, with a limited amount of only 72 million coins. Under the support of some capital series, Ethereum has become the second-largest market cap currency in the coin circle. After the upgrade, Ethereum gradually abandoned its cryptocurrency attributes and leaned towards traditional financial attributes, not only canceling the limit of 72 million but also adopting a fixed annual issuance of about 6 million dollars, greatly weakening Ethereum's value. From Lao Cui's perspective, this is a misstep, coupled with the inaction of the founding team, whether in optimization or cost, it is gradually being replaced by the SOL system. It can be said that Ethereum's position is already threatened. In comparison, Ethereum currently only has an advantage in market capitalization. If everyone measures Ethereum with a value investment philosophy, you will find that the Ethereum in the connecting segment is just lying on its laurels, waiting to die. Without making certain revolutionary actions, even if it is not ultimately replaced by SOL, it will be surpassed by later entrants.
You can also pay attention to the on-chain data, which clearly shows that every round of new highs will have a large amount of currency sold off; no matter how V God guarantees, it cannot cover up the huge outflow of funds. Even if it is not V God selling, it is also the work of his team. At the end of last year, V God spoke again, and the guarantee conditions with everyone were also to change the team and continue optimization, but the values of his optimization guarantees cannot be compared with SOL. As of now, there has been no news of the optimization process, which is also where Lao Cui has doubts. If it weren't for the heat of NFTs in the past two years, Ethereum's high point of 4877 might never be reached in its lifetime. Ethereum's fate is indeed quite good; whenever it is at a disadvantage, there will always be a straw to grasp, first with NFTs and then with the push of listed capital. The growth last year also clearly showed the problem; capital no longer believes in the concept of Ethereum, resulting in most of the top ten currencies setting new highs, while Ethereum remained unmoved, with the highest point only stopping around 4100. Investing in Ethereum during the last bull market can be said to be a blood loss, which is also something Lao Cui finds very unpleasant. At this stage, Bitcoin has once again set a new high, while Ethereum has not even touched 3000, and the selling situation remains severe, showing no responsibility as the second-largest market cap in the coin circle. After this round of bull market, Lao Cui is afraid he will not look favorably on Ethereum again. Everyone should also be prepared to withdraw at any time. In the future, concept currencies like NFC are likely to consider the SOL system for issuance, and new concept currencies have limited cost considerations, so the value of Ethereum exists, and everyone needs to reassess!
Overall, the pessimism towards Ethereum is only in comparison to BTC at the top. As long as in the coin circle market, Bitcoin is always the best investment choice. The comparison between the two is the same. And when you look at the coin circle from the perspective of other markets, the amount of funds is the primary choice. If your funds are not sufficient to support Bitcoin investment, then the first choice is Ethereum, followed by SOL. These two currencies can outperform any market in terms of return rates, and compared to the US stock market, they are an even better choice. In short, remember one thing: the returns in the coin circle are definitely greater than in other markets. Even if you invest in the top ten currencies in the coin circle, if viewed on an annual basis, during a bull market cycle, the return rate is far greater than in other markets. Speaking a bit too far, Lao Cui's main point is also to hope everyone can understand that everything has its duality. To accept the massive profits of the coin circle, one must also accept the losses; these two exist in mutual equivalence. In light of this round of bull market, Lao Cui's average entry point for Ethereum has always been around 2400. As long as your entry point is almost the same as Lao Cui's, then when it’s time to exit, Lao Cui will also notify everyone. Currently, Lao Cui's expectation is to exit around 3500, and the prediction for the new high in this round of bull market is only around 4000-4500. Therefore, Lao Cui's clearing position is to clear all positions around 3500-4000. Everyone can also prepare for this in advance. Of course, market trends change in real-time, and if plans change, Lao Cui will also notify everyone in advance.
Lao Cui's summary: There may also be users who have not yet entered the market. As long as you look at it on an annual basis, the old saying from last year still holds: the best investment time is always when the price is the lowest. If you miss the second-best time, it is now. This sentence only applies to the current market. For Bitcoin, Ethereum, and SOL, if you can hold for more than half a year, you can buy in with your eyes closed at this stage. During Trump's term, there will not be too many problems in the coin circle, especially since SOL is still an unlisted currency. The early prediction of the listing time is basically aligned with the interest rate cuts, and everyone can also aim for this opportunity for profit this year. However, the upper limits of Bitcoin and SOL are almost unpredictable, while Lao Cui can provide the theoretical value of Ethereum. How to choose depends on your own investment philosophy. For contract users, too many friends hesitate when they hear Lao Cui mention a deep correction, which is also a big taboo in contract investment. A deep correction is meant to prepare you in advance, not to go against the trend. As long as it is still growing, you should focus on going long. Short-term profits must withstand a wave of losses. What has been mentioned in advance is just to hope everyone can lighten their positions and stop losses in time. Even this time, Bitcoin's correction depth was only 5,000 points, and there were users who faced liquidation. This is a typical gambler's mentality, and such losses must be prohibited. Contract users who are unsure about their entry points can consult Lao Cui; how to choose still depends on your own thoughts. All contract users just need to remember to always follow the trend.
Original content from WeChat public account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, you can contact directly.
Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even more than ten steps ahead, while a novice can only see two or three steps. The master considers the overall situation and plans for the big picture, not focusing on one piece or one area, aiming for the final victory. The novice, on the other hand, fights for every inch of land, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, resulting in frequent troubles.
This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!
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