Tracking real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency market and seizing the best trading opportunities, good morning to all crypto friends☀️ I am Wang Yibo! Thank you to my loyal fans for checking in👍 Your likes will help bring good fortune🍗🍗🌹🌹

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Bitcoin: Challenging historical highs, risks and opportunities coexist

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As Bitcoin prices surge towards historical highs, market enthusiasm and risk indices soar in tandem. The latest sentiment monitoring data shows that the market sentiment indicator has reached a historical high range of 78%, a signal akin to the sword of Damocles, suggesting that the market may face a critical "double top" turning point. In the context of global financial competition, the China-U.S. negotiations have become a core variable influencing market direction. In the face of unpredictable external commentary, investors must maintain a clear understanding — as Bitcoin prices continue to rise, the current risk-reward ratio of investments has significantly decreased, making the investment adage "greed in fear, caution in greed" increasingly important.

From a comprehensive analysis of technical and news factors, although Bitcoin maintains an upward trend due to strong momentum, potential risks cannot be ignored. Technically, the continuous price increase has severely deviated from the moving average system, indicating a strong need for a pullback correction in the short term; from a news perspective, policy changes and geopolitical events could trigger market volatility. Therefore, scientific position management and strict risk control are effective means for investors to fend off risks. It is recommended to closely monitor price retracement signals, set reasonable stop-loss points, and safeguard the capital safety line while seizing market opportunities.

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Bitcoin Market Trend: Compression of Fluctuation Range, Intensified Bull-Bear Struggle

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After experiencing fluctuations and adjustments yesterday, Bitcoin welcomed a new round of volatility in the early morning. The price attempted to break through the $105,000 mark but was unable to succeed due to selling pressure from above, subsequently entering a phase of fluctuation and retracement, dipping to a low of $103,500 in the morning, and currently oscillating around that price level.

From an overall structural perspective, the Bitcoin market is in a critical stage of range compression. Affected by further reduced expectations of interest rate cuts, a pullback occurred in the morning session. The 4-hour candlestick chart shows a clear downward trend in the upper Bollinger Band, with strong resistance above; the middle and lower bands are gradually rising, with both bulls and bears fiercely contesting around the price center. The price has been operating between the middle and upper Bollinger Bands for an extended period, with short-term bulls slightly favored, but the overall market remains in a stalemate. In the 1-hour candlestick chart, the oscillating market is more pronounced, with strong resilience shown in both support and resistance levels, as bulls and bears alternate in dominating the market. Before the range convergence is completed, it is expected that Bitcoin prices will continue to oscillate within the current channel until a balance is broken.

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Ethereum: Independent Market Trend Emerges, Upward Trend Unchanged

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Ethereum has shown a relatively independent market trend. In the early session, bulls made a strong push, with prices rising to around $2,608 before encountering resistance, followed by a downward fluctuation, testing the bottom at $2,433 twice before a technical rebound. In the early morning, prices fluctuated upward to $2,527, but were affected by Bitcoin's price volatility and retraced, currently oscillating around $2,500.

From an overall structural analysis, although Ethereum's price has retreated, the extent of the pullback is limited compared to the previous upward space, representing a normal correction within the upward trend, which will not alter the long-term upward pattern. In Ethereum's upward trend, each surge is often accompanied by a pullback to confirm support before continuing to rise. Therefore, operational strategies should closely follow the on-site structural patterns for flexible adjustments. Based on the current trend, it is recommended to maintain a bullish outlook, with a focus on the continuation of upward price momentum. If signs of weakness or a top signal appear, one could attempt to short at high points; if prices remain strong, then go long in line with the trend, while ensuring to set reasonable stop-loss and take-profit points to cope with market uncertainties.

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If you are feeling lost — not understanding the technology, unable to read the charts, unsure when to enter the market, not knowing how to set stop-losses, unclear about taking profits, randomly increasing positions, getting stuck while trying to catch the bottom, unable to hold onto profits, missing out on market movements… these are common issues for retail investors. But don't worry, I can help you establish the right trading mindset. A single profitable trade speaks louder than a thousand words, and finding the right direction is better than repeated failures. Instead of frequent trading, it’s better to strike precisely, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to progressing steadily with you in the market.

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