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The Top Ten Predictions by Vitalik and Balaji: Crypto, AI, and the Future Order

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律动BlockBeats
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1 year ago
AI summarizes in 5 seconds.

Original Author: Marine, MC² Finance Founder

Original Translation: Blockchain in Plain Language

Editor's Note: On April 22, former Coinbase CTO and renowned angel investor Balaji Srinivasan attended an offline event of The Network State alongside Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin. They engaged in an in-depth discussion on various cutting-edge topics, including the evolution of DeFi, security, the relationship between AI and humanity, and DeSci. This article is based on the live notes from Marine, the founder of MC² Finance, who referred to this dialogue as "a rare civilisational-level conversation." BlockBeats reprints the full text as follows:

1: Balaji claims Ethereum is the center-left of cryptocurrency.

· Vitalik is committed to building public goods. He pursues programmable equality, decentralized institutions, and fair coordination.

Balaji belongs to the center-right. He pursues exit options and autonomy. Ethereum has become the home of the "technocratic left."

2: DeFi is becoming safer, but it is not fully secure yet.

· Vitalik: "Risks are approaching traditional finance."

· Balaji: "You risk a 100% loss to gain a 5% return." Protocols can only be truly secure after experiencing a crisis, not just through audits. Time > total loss limits.

3: The dollar is not as safe as you think.

"Only invest dollars you can afford to lose." This sounds like a joke. But for billions in Argentina, Nigeria, and Lebanon, this is a reality. Stablecoins are now infrastructure (not an experiment).

4: The definition of DeFi is changing.

Balaji: "It is the takeover after the system ends." Not an upgrade, but a replacement. Always online, borderless, composable. DeFi is not just a better pipeline. It is a different physics of value. (Received enthusiastic applause)

5: Cryptocurrency will not undermine the dollar, but it will expose it.

Vitalik: 99% of stablecoins are backed by the dollar. But this will solidify the dollar's dominance until it no longer does. Once fiat currency goes live, it will lose its geographical monopoly. Fiat will fade away like newspapers (slowly, then all at once).

6: Hints will continue to exist.

Balaji: "Hints are programming in English." This is not a solution, but a skill. AI will not replace humans, but it will amplify the sharpest minds. Clarity = leverage.

7: AGI? Not a god, just a founder.

· Vitalik: "When AGI builds a profitable company, it is real." This is measurable. Practical.

· Balaji agrees: AI is not goal-seeking but pattern-matching. The world still relies on human intent to operate.

8: DeSci = DeFi for the medical field.

Today's healthcare system profits from disease. DeSci disrupts this. Truth above all. Peer review. Science is code, not pharmaceutical marketing. Balaji's bet: DeSci is the true alternative to institutional decay.

9: Ethereum needs a North Star. DAU? Price? TVL?

· Vitalik: Just get people to use it.

· Balaji: DeFi is the post-fiat matrix. Once value goes live, everything can be traded. No liquidity from banks. A market without borders. (Asked many questions, I can't disclose xD)

10: The system will not be reformed. It will be rebuilt.

Balaji believes the internet and DC are opposites. Vitalik believes cryptocurrency is a system of fairer rules. Both agree: the old world is collapsing. The next world will not be built on DC. It will be encoded. On-chain.

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