Original Author: Miles Deutscher, Crypto Analyst

Translation: Yuliya, PANews

The market is experiencing a critical turning point. After Bitcoin broke the $100,000 mark this week, investors are now looking towards the next price target. Based on comprehensive data analysis, multiple indicators are showing that Bitcoin is expected to reach a new height of $150,000 in 2025.

This report will provide an in-depth analysis through 10 key indicators across the following four dimensions:

• Time Cycle Analysis

• Macroeconomic Factors

• Market Demand Dynamics

• On-Chain Data Indicators

Time Cycle Analysis

1. The current price trend of Bitcoin is highly similar to previous cycles.

2. The market has entered the most explosive phase, which is the period of fastest price acceleration.

3. Throughout historical cycles, Bitcoin tends to enter the red zone of the power law probability model (97% percentile). If this cycle repeats this pattern, it implies that Bitcoin's price will break $196,000.

Macroeconomic Factors

4. The current macro environment is in the most favorable state since 2021. Bitcoin is extremely sensitive to changes in monetary policy and global liquidity.

5. It is expected that interest rates will continue to decline in 2025, which will create strong macro support for risk assets.

Market Demand Dynamics

6. MicroStrategy continues to buy according to its 21/21 plan (aiming to hold 21% of Bitcoin's total supply, with $29.3 billion remaining to invest).

This impacts Bitcoin demand in two ways:

• Continuous and aggressive buying pressure from MicroStrategy

• Speculative funds positioning in advance to respond to future buying pressure

7. The holdings of U.S. spot ETFs have exceeded 1.1 million Bitcoins, surpassing the amount held by Satoshi Nakamoto. This brings continuous buying pressure. Spot ETFs also create an extremely powerful "unit bias" effect.

On-Chain Data Indicators

8. Retail demand for Bitcoin has surged, reaching the highest level since 2020.

9. New funds are driving the current price trend of Bitcoin. "Even at $102,000, it is far from bubble levels - a further 43% increase is needed to reach what is typically considered the bubble threshold."

10. Even at the $100,000 level, profit-taking pressure is easing, indicating that selling pressure is cooling down.

Market Outlook

Multiple factors are currently highly aligned, indicating that the upward trend will continue. In such a macro environment, Bitcoin breaking $150,000 will inject strong momentum into the entire cryptocurrency market.

The increase in market liquidity will undoubtedly lead to a more significant upward trend, especially for the altcoin market. In the coming weeks, we will continue to track and share noteworthy altcoin investment opportunities.

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