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In the past two days, Bitcoin has retraced at the 1-hour level, ultimately dropping to around 90971. Personally, I believe that around 90000 is about it, but in terms of structure, the short-term adjustment has not ended. However, I don't expect it to drop too much further, so in the last four to five days, I lean towards a range-bound fluctuation. Ethereum is performing relatively strong, so it is likely that Ethereum is not yet in a 4-hour level correction.

The short-term retracement, in my understanding, is still to cool down the market and clear out some high leverage, but the risk is actually not large; just wait calmly for the next wave of upward movement.

BTC

Due to the rapid changes in the market, this article can only make predictions based on the market conditions at the time of publication. Short-term players should pay attention to the latest market changes, and this is merely for reference.

1H:

At the 1-hour level, Bitcoin is basically undergoing a 1-hour level rebound; let's observe the strength of this rebound. The conventional target is around 96500, after which it should undergo another 1-hour level correction back to around 90000. However, if this 1-hour level rebound is strong, for example, if it rebounds to around 98800, then it is likely to consolidate into a 1-hour level center before fluctuating down to around 90000.

As long as the current 1-hour level rebound does not break through 99588, the 4-hour level correction is still in progress; a breakthrough would mean that the 4-hour correction has been postponed.

15M:

At the 15-minute level, we are currently still in the first 15-minute level rebound. It is expected that there may be a 15-minute level correction in the early morning, with the correction likely focusing on around 92500. Then there will be a third 15-minute level increase; pay attention to the strength of the third increase to see if it reaches just above 96000 or a higher position.

ETH

Ethereum is still consolidating a center and is currently undergoing a new 1-hour level increase, with the upper target looking at 3550~3620. There is a certain probability of reaching around 3700 again. We will observe further; there should be a 15-minute level correction in the early morning, focusing on 3400~3420.

Trend Direction

Weekly Level: Direction is upward, currently undergoing a new weekly level increase, with an overall target above 150000.

Daily Level: Direction is upward, with the daily level increase expected to reach around 120000.

4-Hour Level: Direction is downward; as long as it does not break through 99500, it should still be a 4-hour level correction.

1-Hour Level: Direction is upward; today is undergoing a 1-hour level rebound, which is expected to continue, likely until tomorrow morning.

15-Minute Level: Direction is upward; currently in the first 15-minute level increase, with a second 15-minute level correction expected in the early morning.

Feel free to follow my public account for discussion and exchange:

The article is time-sensitive; please pay attention to risks. The views in the article are personal suggestions and for reference only!

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