The burning question on everyone’s mind: Will Donald Trump and his sons introduce a new crypto asset to accompany their fresh defi venture? Polymarket certainly has its participants eager to see how things unfold. As of now, there’s a wager on Polymarket titled “Will Trump launch a coin before the election?” with the total value sitting at $1.95 million.

The rules of the bet state:

This market will resolve to ‘Yes’ if conclusive, definitive evidence emerges that Donald Trump was involved in the deployment of a new token by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to ‘No.’ The resolution for this market will be based on a consensus of credible sources.

On Saturday, Sept. 14, an archived snapshot of the market shows bettors giving Trump’s potential token a 69% chance of launching. Two days earlier, when Trump first made his announcement, the odds jumped from 40% to the current 69%. Still, anticipation lingers, as the official unveiling of World Liberty Financial (WLF) won’t happen until Sept. 16.

Polymarket Trump Coin bet as of Saturday, Sept. 14, 2024.

Trump has scheduled a live appearance on X Spaces (formerly Twitter) at 8 p.m. to introduce WLF. While there’s a buzz about the possibility of a Trump-branded cryptocurrency, some skepticism is creeping in, as seen in the wager’s comment section. One user noted, “Things not looking good for yes bettors.”

There’s also a chance the Trump family might stick to launching a defi application that integrates with existing cryptocurrencies, leaving the idea of a new coin on hold. There’s even the possibility a token could arrive post-election, as many defi projects run promotions before eventually airdropping their tokens.

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