Trump's assassination sparks interest in Polymarket.

CN
9 months ago

Last weekend, the news of Trump's assassination attempt dominated global media.

The news, along with several photos that were quite blood-boiling, once again drew global attention to the U.S. election and sparked renewed interest in the election.

There are many speculations online about the motive behind this incident. I still believe that such events are not conspiracy theories, and I am more inclined to believe that a person's subconscious actions are difficult to fake, that is a person's true nature.

The biggest impact of this event on the American people is likely to be the activation of a group of voters who are not particularly interested in politics, or even those who do not usually participate in voting.

The several shots of Trump captured in this incident reminded me of 9/11.

At the time of the event, George W. Bush rushed to the scene in a disheveled manner, without any pretense, subconsciously speaking to the firefighters shoulder to shoulder, just like a comrade. This scene caused a 180-degree turnaround in the attitudes of many swing voters and even Democratic voters who did not particularly like Bush.

Events like this can show the true nature and character of the people in the face of emergencies and disasters. As long as this true nature and character meet the expectations of the people, it can even make political differences seem less important.

I believe that the impact of 9/11 on Bush's popularity at the time will also happen to Trump today.

Interestingly, many overseas media outlets, when reprinting this news, also included a screenshot of a prediction market. The screenshot showed that the price of Trump's election on a certain prediction market had risen to 70 cents.

More notably, many domestic Chinese media outlets also referenced this screenshot when reprinting the news.

This screenshot comes from the prediction platform polymarket.com in the crypto world.

I introduced this platform to everyone during a recent online exchange.

This is a prediction platform based on the Polygon Mainnet. It has been around since the last bull market, but I only came into contact with this platform at the end of 2020.

At that time, the platform was just emerging, so there were very few events available for prediction. After years of development, the platform has not only survived the difficult bear market, but has further expanded into many areas of prediction, such as sports, politics, crypto, science, and popular culture.

Users can log in to the website using a crypto wallet or traditional email, so it caters to a wide range of users.

Once on the website, users can click into various categories to see predictions about future events in those fields.

To participate in these event predictions, users need to deposit USDC into their accounts on this platform, and then they can participate in various event predictions.

The whole process is not complicated.

Of course, the rewards for predicting each event on this platform are not large, so don't expect to get rich overnight here. It's better to treat it as a little entertainment in boring market conditions.

When I browsed this platform in the early years, I didn't find it very engaging, so I stopped paying attention to it for a while. I started paying attention to it again mainly because I suddenly found that there were many predictable events on it, such as the Taiwan election, the U.S. election, Sam's verdict, Bitcoin's new high, Ethereum ETF, etc. Many of these events are ones I am interested in. So, in addition to participating in the prediction of these familiar events, I have also started paying attention to the development of this platform again.

This incident can be seen as a free marketing opportunity for this platform.

I am always very happy to see every instance where a crypto application reaches more users and becomes more known and familiar to more people. I hope that in the future, more and more crypto applications can reach ordinary people, allowing them to experience the charm and excitement of the crypto world.

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