The market expects big moves ahead of the upcoming decision on $BTC ETF in January

CN
1 year ago

The market expects big moves ahead of the upcoming decision on $BTC ETF in January.

How do I know it?

Implied Volatility is increasing and the higher the traders are willing to pay for the options (i.e the higher the IV),

The more it means they expect a big movement to happen, otherwise, they wouldn't overpay.

As we see, UCVI increased by 61% (or almost by 1000% with the option to apply a 16x leverage) in the last 12 days.

This signals that the market is gearing up for higher volatility, and this might be just the beginning.

For those who forgot, @official_CVI Crypto Volatility Index tracks the price of out-the-money $BTC, $ETH, etc options with expiration dates near 30 days,

And shows the market's expectation of the volatility, rather than current or historic market levels.


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