Bitcoin has surged to $38,000 three times within a week, but has failed to hold its ground. As the market leader, BTC has seen continuous off-exchange capital inflows stimulated by ETF-related news, with significantly high implied volatility in January.

Currently, there is a high probability of both short-term breakthroughs and pullbacks, but the short-term implied volatility is low.

Calendar spreads will be a very good arbitrage opportunity, buying short-term options while selling options for January will have very good cost-effectiveness.

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