Since the bearish view, I have been wanting to satisfy the demand for the end of the third wave and prepare to bottom out, but there has been no opportunity. The live broadcast has provided a perfect script layout from last week to now, from the acceleration of the second wave to the present, the high probability before the appearance of the third wave is the need to explode a round of short positions. Currently, it is still within expectations. The non-agricultural data this week is also insignificant, and the focus is still on the SEC review results.
Review of the previous layout:
After the long and short positions were taken in the live broadcast on Thursday of this week, in the evening, everyone was asked to focus on entering short positions at 1650-1665. The recent high points continue to be pushed lower, and it can continue to test around 1620. The short-term strategy is once again successful, and the big cake simultaneously entered at 26.1k, with a target of 25.8k-25.5k. The script and layout have been prepared for everyone, just need to open your mouth and eat it.
At present, the weekend is still in a state of shock, and there is no need for specific adjustments in thinking. The recent market hotspots are more focused on cyber, and a reminder has been given to everyone not to repeat the previous journey of YGG. As expected, the daily line fluctuated, and the price once again returned to the starting point of the first round of rise.
Intraday strategy:
Ether:
The daily line once again returned to the low position of the shock position, and 1600 experienced a second defense. The third time is a turning point. From the recent journey, it is expected that before mid-September, the trend will emerge again. Therefore, everyone should focus on the integer below, according to the previous scripts. This third wave is not very optimistic about new lows. It is expected that a tougher point below will be a double bottom or a secondary low point. Intraday layout focuses on whether 1645-1650 can provide a short opportunity, including friends who are currently trapped in long positions. You need to pay attention. There will be 1-2 opportunities for everyone on the eve of the next breakthrough. If you are not sure, set good risk control and do not hold positions.
Bitcoin:
During the consolidation phase, the bottom support continues to move lower. This week, it rebounded to 25.3k, and the upper pressure changed from 26.5k to 26.1k. The bearish trend is obvious, but attention should also be paid to killing shorts again after the rebound. The focus in September and October is to confirm the top and bottom, so that the layout can gain the initiative. Obviously, falling into passivity is not a clear choice. The next round will focus on the previous low of 25.1k-24.8k, and the best bottom fishing opportunity of the year should be below 24k.
Intraday layout mainly focuses on the integer level around 26k. There is probably no opportunity during the day, and the focus is on the evening. There will be an entry opportunity today. After grasping it, you can leave. The next step is the weekly chart. At the current pace, next week may need to confirm the start of the rebound. So far, 7 weeks have seen 6 declines sandwiched by small gains. I am optimistic about touching the bottom again in the eighth week and reversing the trend, which also fits the factors of the previous decline in September over the years.
LTC:
Last time, it perfectly escaped the top at 68, and it is still strong in short positions. Consider building positions around 61, and the subsequent decline will also follow the rhythm of the overall market, with less extreme declines.
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