Brothers, have you noticed? YesterdayBTC had a big bullish candle, shooting up 7000 points, with a nearly 10% increase, and the market was in cheers. Many worthless analysts started talking about a bottom and a reversal as soon as they saw the rise. But today, it directly surged and retreated, fluctuating widely. Does that slap hurt?

Yesterday, the article from the big whale clearly pointed out that this wave of rise is not a signal for a bottom, is not a trend reversal, and should not be blindly followed with bullish momentum, yet many brothers still did not listen to the advice.

I've told you long ago, yesterday's rise was merely the strongest emotional repair since this month's significant decline. The major players moved first, and the altcoins followed, a typical emotion-driven bounce, it was not a genuine capital resurgence!

Today's market precisely confirmed my judgment. Look atBTC's afternoon movement, which pushed to the 68000 level, but as soon as it hit the strong resistance at 68500, it turned back, directly crashing to around 66000 and fluctuating,ETH was even weaker, after spiking to 2050, it directly fell to 1960. Isn't this movement enough to illustrate the problem?

Let’s look again at the market structure. BTC broke below 94000 points with no resistance at all, and the weekly trend has structurally deteriorated. If it loses the support at 68000, the main decline has long been clear! The market has already pulled back from its highs, completely turning into a cyclical decline. Until the critical level at 76000, the 0.618 Fibonacci level, is stable, talking about a reversal is purely a personal delusion.

Let me ask the brothers again, do you really understand the true reason behind this wave falling from 120,000 dollars? It's not about any news causing the drop; it marks the end of the interest rate cut cycle, and liquidity expectations collapsed. We all know the crypto market has never relied on fundamentals but solely on liquidity and expectations for support; when the tide recedes, valuations naturally decline!

The reason for such a strong rise yesterday was due to the strength of the Nasdaq, Nvidia's earnings report, and the institutional emotional resonance, while today's decline is because there’s no new capital entering the market! Derivative data explains everything; short positions are being cleared with nearly 400 million being covered, yet the funding rates are low, and following high prices is too risky, the market is entirely driven by short position liquidations!

Don’t be deceived by the net inflow of 250 million dollars into ETF yesterday, while the market had a net outflow of 33.16 million. What does this mean? It means institutions are buying, while retail investors are selling! Institutions look at long-term allocation, while retail investors chase short-term ups and downs. This kind of capital differentiation can at most be called a correction, how can it be seen as a counterattack?

So let me clarify once more: has the market stopped falling? No! Absolutely not! Yesterday just completed an emotional repair, today it directly tanked; the market structure remains bearish, and sustained liquidity has not emerged at all!

So where is the true stage low point? I still say, end of March!

After the negative implications of suspending interest rate cuts in March are fully realized, the expectations will shift to May, to the new chairman's policies, to the interest rate cuts and monetary easing that Trump wants. Only when liquidity expectations truly return can there be an opportunity for a market rebirth!

Returning to the market conditions,BTC is weakening on the 4-hour level, the price hit the upper resistance line and is now under pressure retreating, showing a clear downward fluctuation rhythm. The characteristic of the short-term market movement is weak rebounds and strong pullbacks, with heavy selling pressure above, and bullish rebounds are feeble. The price has dipped below the middle track, and key support has been lost. The shape has a full-bodied bearish candle; the decline is active, while the rebound is passive.

The hourly line shows a weak four consecutive downward trend, the price has broken below the lower track, and the bearish momentum is being released concentratedly, with new lows continuously being refreshed, support platforms are being lost successively. This is a continuation of the bearish trend, not the end of the adjustment.

In terms of operations, continue to follow the main downward trend. Every time a rebound encounters resistance is an opportunity to lay short positions. Betting against the trend for a rebound carries enormous risk, control your risk well, keep up with the market rhythm. For BTC: there are significant short position opportunities around 66600, with support near 65000 below; thus, brothers should take profits at this position accordingly,ETH has short position opportunities around 1970, with support near 1860. For brothers in short-term trading, remember to control your position size and leverage.

In the bear market cycle of 2026, losing money is normal, so don't be hard on yourself. It’s not that you’re not good enough; the cycle has fundamentally changed. The profitability in crypto started sharply declining in the second half of last year; it’s not capable of competing with gold and silver. Let alone comparing it to the U.S. stock market. So brothers, if you have been losing money recently, this is not a question of ability but a massive cycle pressing down!

Do you know what the hardest part about trading is? It's not relying on a single K-line for sustenance; rather, it's about interpreting trends through the overall structure of the market, adapting to the market dynamics. The cryptocurrency market is ever-changing and elusive, but cognition can be linearly improved. The precondition for making money through trading is that you possess sufficient understanding to support each of your decisions, which is also why the big whale insists on writing and sharing articles. Compared to making money through trading, I find it more fulfilling to help everyone enhance their cognitive awareness.

Brothers, the market will repeatedly oscillate to deceive people, but cycles do not deceive, and cognition certainly does not deceive. The market teaches us respect, the cycle teaches us maturity. The big whale will always accompany you, holding onto the direction in the chaotic market, not being confused by bullish candles, nor panicking during declines, taking steady steps, and making consistent gains! If you agree, the big whale hopes to earn your attention and likes. Thank you!#JaneStreet10Sale #CryptoMarketBounce #ZachXBTExposingAxiom #BitcoinGoogleSearchVolumeSurge #HotTopics 

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