Will the VINE that Musk has repeatedly promoted transform from a Meme into an Imagine?

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2 hours ago

Regarding whether VINE will be replaced by "Imagine," here are a few points of logic:

1) VINE has always been a MEME, embodying the market's hope for the successful revival of the previously shut down Vine short video platform. Therefore, as long as either Musk or Rus (the founder of VINE) has not clearly stated that they have abandoned the plan to restart Vine, VINE will continue to exist.

2) The recent high-frequency promotion and mention of Grok Imagine by Elon does not mean that Imagine is set to replace VINE. Even if Elon says Grok Imagine is AI Vine, Imagine is merely a product feature branch, just as Grok is the AI module of X. Imagine is just a functionality module for converting images to videos within Grok. Elon’s high-profile promotion of Grok Imagine is simply to highlight Grok's AI enhancement capabilities, and does not equate to renaming Vine as Imagine; at least, Elon has not "clearly" stated this.

3) "Bring back Vine" is not just a slogan; it encompasses complex cultural, emotional, brand, and IP factors. This means that Vine is a cultural symbol with special significance, carrying the internet memories of a generation, and this emotional value is hard to replace. In this context, it seems that Elon’s mention of restarting Vine in AI form ultimately aims to revive Vine, with Grok Imagine being a core product capability demonstration before achieving this ultimate goal. In other words, if there were no intention to restart Vine, there would be no need to mention Vine; the goal of using AI is also to restart it.

4) The emphasis on Grok Imagine being AI Vine is simply to express that Vine will "accelerate" its return in an AI-enabled form. Let’s not forget that the core of the Vine short video platform is 6-second videos. If Imagine can, as Elon mentioned, directly convert images into 6-second short videos with real-time rendering capabilities, this would definitely be a core selling point after Vine's revival. It is highly likely that Imagine will coexist as a creative tool while Vine serves as a social distribution platform, which is also supported by Rus's response of "both."

5) The market's expectations for VINE have always stemmed from whether Vine will really be revived, whether Rus can hold a key position at X, especially with the Vine logo being integrated and displayed on X's content interface, and whether VINE will circulate as a tipping currency within Vine, etc. However, it is crucial to note that, as of now, the MEME can only carry a sense of cultural emotional belonging. Unless X, as a commercial entity, clearly states that it will empower the revived Vine and the corresponding token VINE, the market's expected valuation, price growth, and emotional expectations all carry speculative risks.

Note: The MEME market is highly volatile; please be cautious of risks when investing or trading. The above analysis is for reference only, and combined with the short video below, it might seem quite entertaining.

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