How AI is helping retail traders exploit prediction market 'glitches' to make easy money

coindesk
coindesk|2026年02月21日 15:00
A fully automated bot quietly captured micro-arbitrage opportunities on short-term crypto prediction markets, netting nearly $150,000 What to know : The bot exploited fleeting moments when “Yes” and “No” contracts briefly summed to less than $1, locking in roughly 1.5%–3% per trade across 8,894 executions. With typical five-minute crypto prediction markets showing only $5,000–$15,000 per side in depth, large desks would struggle to deploy serious capital without erasing the spread. As AI systems increasingly arbitrage prediction markets against options and derivatives pricing, these venues risk becoming reflections of broader crypto markets rather than independent sources of crowd-based probability.
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